Brian Doherty | December 1, 2006
The latest in the bizarre mystery surrounding the death of former Russian spy Alexander Litvinenko of apparent polonium-210 poisoning: Mario Scaramella, the Italian "security expert" he chowed on sushi with the night he suspects he was poisoned is also contaminated, the London Times is reporting--with amounts that are "significant" and "likely to be of concern to his immediate health."
Nature magazine has some news you can use about this baroquely bizarre tale (my goodness, why would someone choose such a crazy spy novel way of icing your foes in a world where bullets are abundant?): You needn't have access to a nuke plant to get your hands on polonium-210; the "theories about the planes that have been grounded after finding hints of radiation on board are even more speculative. Authorities have not said what level of radiation has been detected or even whether the source is polonium-210"; and, if you suspect baddies with as convoluted a mind as those after Litvinenko might be after you, be apprised that sheets of paper are enough to block polonium-210 radiation.
This Fox News report has a
skilled
summation of all the twists and turns of this nutty, and scary,
tale--including that former Russian prime minister Yegor Gaidar,
who served in the Yeltsin era and was known as a market
reformer, fell
mysteriously ill in Ireland this week, and also thinks he was
poisoned, though no radiation
has yet been detected in his case.
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(my goodness, why would someone choose such a crazy spy novel
way of icing your foes in a world where bullets are
abundant?):
Maybe because of UK's gun laws? Hey, I thought these gun laws were
supposed to make the British people SAFER! Next up, Polonium
registration, then polonium prohibition. When polonium is illegal,
only dangerous government employees have polonium.
It's polonium-210. Not that it matters much, but why not be correct if you can? :-)
Grylliade--yes of course, thanks for the gentle correction. Fixed.
The radiation poisoning takes a few days to kill someone. That gives the assasin time to cover his tracks.
I'm not at all convinced that commercial sources of Po-210 could
be involved. The most one can buy commercially -- or indeed would
have any reason to buy commercially -- is about 25 picograms, a
factor of 2000 less than the estimated 50 nanograms required to
cause harm.
When you consider that the amount in question was sufficient to
poison two people and to leave traces in multiple buildings and
planes, the amount of polonium used must have been comparatively
huge. It seems implausible that this was private-sector poison.
Perhaps Mr. Gaidar was felled by another toxin: the dread Irish Breakfast sausage!
I think that this was the Kremlin's way of "sending a message" to those who "love their country but hate their government."
I can't believe the un-libertarian reaction to all of this. Where can I buy stock in polonium 210? How can we best oppose silly government restrictions on free trade in polonium 210?
His name really is Gaidar and he is, if you'll pardon the
obvious allusion, a good Russian.
Our president said, "I looked into his soul, and saw a good man"
about my countrymen's president. He was, unfortunately and
obviously, wrong.
All who fail to see the hand of Putin in the poisonings and murders
- whether he gave the order or simply set the general policy - are
simply afraid of where such a conclusion will lead them.
I hope to live to see a Russia where the people are once and for
all sovereign but I expect that, if that day comes, I will be a
very old man.
It is weirdly exotic. Polonium is much easier to trace than a
gun or even the thousands of industrial chemicals and medicines
that are potentially fatal if taken in the wrong dose or mixed the
wrong way.
jtuf: this doesn't give the assassin "three days to cover his
tracks." It gives the police three days to interview the victim and
learn about his movements. It was a botched job, no two ways about
it
The Russians have a long history of poorly done, obvious and brutal assasanations. Stalin's killing of Trotsky comes to mind. During the Communist days, it was pretty common for the GPU or KGB to beat an out of favor official who was too well known internationally to just be shot or sent to the gulag, to death and put the body into a wrecked car and tell the media he died in a car accident. If you looked at the per capita deaths in car accidents of high Soviet officials and didn't know any better, you would think that Soviet officials were the most dangerous drivers in human history. That backward brutish mentality hasn't worn off with communism. Putin is just a communist thug turned crony capitalist. Good lord you could have paid some crazy Pakistani to mug the guy and kill him on the London streets. Even the mafia does a better job than the Russians.
I hope to live to see a Russia where the people are once and
for all sovereign
Never happen. Not the "Russia" part, the "once and for all
soverign."
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time, with the
blood of patriots and tyrants. It is its natural manure."
-Thomas Jefferson, 1787
The good news is that Po-210 has a half-life of 138 days and
decays to Pb-206 (and 4-He-2), which is stable. The bad news is
that because of the short 1/2-life, the decay of Po-210 is
particularly energetic, which is bad for anyone who has it in his
system.
http://www.webelements.com/webelements/elements/text/Po/key.htm
Also note that because of the short half-life of Po-210, the stuff that was used to poison Litvinenko would have to have been recently made. Depending on the isotopic ratio of Po-210 to Pb-206, investigators should be able to pinpoint exactly when the Po-210 was made or purified.
The thing about alpha radiation is that it has extremely low
penetrating power, since it has a high probability of interacting
with the first bit of matter it comes accross.
You can hold a radioactive source emitting alpha radiation (high
velocity He nuclei), and it won't penetrate the layer of dead skin
cells on the outside of the dermis.
If you ingest the source, then you're in trouble; the
radioactive material wrecks the tissue it comes in contact with:
the He nuclei ferociously ionize and destroy DNA, RNA, other
proteins etc. This disrupts not only normal cell functioning, but
can also prevent the tissue from repairing itself.
If you are going to poison people with radioactive material, an
alpha emitter with a low half life that stays in the body a long
time is the best choice.
As far a s the clumsiness/efficacy of the murder, I think it was
intended to acuse a splash.
Poison is even scarier than bullets. You can ear a bullet proof
vest. You can hide from gunmnen, or run away/shoot them when they
attack.
Everybody is vulnerable to poison, and by the time you realize that
you are poisoned, it is often too late to do anything about
it.
It's really an announcement that Putin and his buddies can do
whatever they want, and get away with it.
I think you're right, tarran.
I also wonder how long Putin thinks he can murder people in other
countries with impunity. At some point doesn't this become an act
of war? First the botched attempt in Urkraine, now this (and who
knows how many others). I'll be surprised if Britain hasn't already
warned Putin regarding his activities within their borders.
That's something I'd like to see. A war between two countries
with top-rate militaries, neither of which happen to be the U.S.
It's about time we Americans got to be spectators in a good war for
a change.
I wonder what an actual war between the U.K and Russia would look
like.
db,
Pulling a guess out of my ass, I'd imagine you'd see a chess match
on a global scale. Britain would probably work quickly to
reestablish something resembling its old empire, and the Russians
would be forced to reassert control over the former Warsaw Pact and
USSR nations.
Hmm, is this why Putin has such a hard-on for meddling in the
elections of former Soviet Republics?
Or, am I just killing time and drinking way to much while I wait
for Greg Oden to make his debut today for the Ohio State Buckeye
basketball team?
If the threat of nuclear escalation was ignored, the Royal Navy would likely make quick work with what exists of the Russian Navy. Hell, the Russian subs would probably sink themselves if they tried to go to extended combat operations.
Maybe this is the next step in blockbuster advertising, and there'll be a new Bond movie out featuring polonium-210.
Anybody still exploring the theory that Putin and company are being set up? On the other hand, I agree that this is the kind of clumsy spy-movie assassination that the KGB used to go in for.
russia may be falling into sloppy crony authoritarianism but unlike the cold war at least we have lovely, cheap russian cam girls to stare at -- russia's most important export IMHO...
It's about time we Americans got to be spectators in a good
war for a change.
Silly db, the United States will never be a spectator again...if
Britain found Russia's actions to be an act of war, then one could
argue our NATO obligations would draw us into that war as
well.
Us folks in the Army will have to pull up all those old manuals on
Commie field tactics. The best part is that we would at least know
who the enemy is (presumably Mother Russia's army would wear
uniforms) instead of the grinding day-to-day of not knowing who you
can trust.
What's disappointing about the writeup is that the owners of the
United Nuclear
website have had a disclaimer up for several days (since at
LEAST the Slashdot article that linked to it):
You would need about 15,000 of our Polonium-210 needle sources at a
total cost of about $1 million - to have a toxic amount.
Is anyone else bothered by the fact that almost no one seems to
give a shit about this story beyond the nuts and bolts of how it
was done?
A major world leader is using radiological weapons to kill his
enemies in other countries, and most of us are just shrugging like
it's no big deal. Why aren't the usual suspects in the human
rights/environmentalist "Axis of Hippie" out there making noise? Or
at least a lot more noise?
Is anyone else bothered by the fact that almost no one seems
to give a shit about this story beyond the nuts and bolts of how it
was done?
Yes. But then, anyone under the delusion that Russia should have
been allowed into the G7 was fooling only themselves. The question
before the house now is whether they should (a) kick Russia out for
being an autocracy or (b) fold and create a new organization to
effect the same thing without annoying Putin, er, I mean the
Russians.
"Anybody still exploring the theory that Putin and company are
being set up?"
Yes.
Pat Buchanan.
http://buchanan.org/blog/?p=593
Lately, I find myself agreeing with this guy more than half the
time. In a world gone mad, Pat Buchanan's only half-crazy.
I
So, if the polonium you ingest decays into helium, will it make your voice sound funny?
if you suspect baddies with as convoluted a mind as those
after Litvinenko might be after you, be apprised that sheets of
paper are enough to block polonium-210 radiation.
All right, so today's rainy-day project will be lining my tin foil
hat with sheets of paper.
I noted John's comment @12:33 12/2/06 about the KGB using car
crashes for purposes of assassination. That was the way the Soviets
did in Andrei Almarik [sp?] author of "Will the Soviet Union
Survive Until 1984?"
Putin is an ex-KGB operative. To him, any opposition is "enemy
action". Unfortunately, this is a common mentality in Russia and
has played well for Putin, as he appears to have a certain amount
of genuine support.
Poor Russia.
Is the poison more effective when deliverd by a spike toed
shoe?
I'm excited about this. Terrorist are boring movie villans. I for
one am ready for the return of the evil Russian assasin.
Sam Franklin | December 3, 2006, 9:07am | #
Wish people took this much interest in the anthrax
investigation.
What evidence do you have that the anthrax cases have not been
investigated with sufficient resources?
Oh, never mind.
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