Jesse Walker | September 12, 2006
For a man whose commute ordinarily requires a quick stroll down the stairs, I spent an inordinate amount of time in traffic yesterday morning, listening to some 9/11 "skeptics" presenting their case on the local Pacifica station. I put skeptics in quotes because their skepticism seems selective: They're the sort of people who will question whether a plane actually hit the Pentagon on September 11, 2001, but won't question a theory that can't explain just where the hijacked aircraft landed instead. Or, for that matter, why the conspirators bothered to hijack the plane in the first place. People like this usually scoff at Arlen Specter's magic-bullet theory of the Kennedy assassination, but when it suits their prejudices they're willing to posit a magic bullet the size of a Boeing 757.
So I was happy to read Alexander Cockburn's takedown of the 9/11 conspiracy industry yesterday evening. I can quibble with a comment here and there, but I can't quarrel with this:
One characteristic of the nuts is that they have a devout, albeit preposterous belief in American efficiency, thus many of them start with the racist premise that "Arabs in caves" weren't capable of the mission. They believe that military systems work the way Pentagon press flacks and aerospace salesmen say they should work. They believe that at 8.14 am, when AA flight 11 switched off its radio and transponder, an FAA flight controller should have called the National Military Command center and NORAD. They believe, citing reverently (this is from high priest Griffin) "the US Air Force's own website," that an F-15 could have intercepted AA flight 11 "by 8.24, and certainly no later than 8.30."
They appear to have read no military history, which is too bad because if they did they'd know that minutely planned operations -- let alone responses to an unprecedented emergency -- screw up with monotonous regularity, by reason of stupidity, cowardice, venality, weather and all the other whims of providence....
August Bebel said anti-Semitism is the socialism of the fools. These days the 9/11 conspiracy fever threatens to become the "socialism" of the left, and the passe-partout of many libertarians.
I've got nothing against conspiracy theories per se -- any theory of what happened five years ago is going to involve a plot and a cabal -- but these yarns are convincing only to people predisposed to believe them. And a story that loses track of a whole damn plane is just surreal. If you're going to go down that road, you might as well invoke the Agent Rogersz theory instead: "It happens sometimes. People just explode. Natural causes."
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Delicious Repo Man shout out, Jesse.
I have wondered how a large jet with an even larger wingspan could
leave a large hole the diameter of the fuselage, but not leave
evidence of wings hitting the side of a large building.
But that's more of a mildly interesting puzzle as opposed to to the
rationale for a conspiracy theory.
Yeah Madpad! It's always puzzled me how the WTC just kinda fell
over the way it did when those hologram planes hit it, just before
it was zapped by the death ray from that Raelian spacecraft
hovering over Lady Liberty.
Either that, or the Jews did it. They getcha every time.
It's always puzzled me how the WTC just kinda fell over the way
it did when those hologram planes hit it, just after they were
zapped by the death ray from that Raelian spacecraft hovering over
Lady Liberty.
Either that, or the Jews did it. They getcha every time.
Come on though, I don't find it "mildly interesting" when square
pegs fit into round holes....it fuckin' freaks me out! That is,
unless the round hole is exceptionally large. I think these
conspiracy people need to take a cue from the Libertarian Party and
water down their schtick to the point where people are only
slightly put off by it (Pentagon holes and building #7 = legalized
drugs and toned down foreign policy).
At that point people would go from not taking them seriously to not
even paying attention to them at all!
Traffic reporter airplane, single engine. That was the first report of the attack on the AM news (can't remember if it was WCBS or WINS). While I don't much care for conspiracy theories, the official version doesn't line up with many news reports. That doesn't mean that the official version is wrong. It's more likely that the intial report was wrong. But it is at least understandable that people would hear a report contradicted by an already truth-challenged administration and be skeptical. And why does everyone have to have an alternative theory to be skeptical of the official version of events?
Any conspiracy-mindedness I had ten years ago pretty much vanished when I read Paul Fusell's Wartime/u>. Who needs conspiracies when daily life in every occupation is often one big giant FUBAR?
Any conspiracy theory that depends on multiple layers of the governement working as an extremely efficient cohesive unit can pretty much be dismissed outright.
It's self-serving and loony to assert, as Cockburn does, that
9/11 conspiracy theories are either widespread on the left, or even
more common than on the right.
The UN Black Helicopter crowed has latched onto this just as
fiercely as the left-conspiracists, and they are an equally small
portion of the population.
That doesn't mean that the official version is wrong. It's
more likely that the intial report was wrong.
Here's something I learned a long time ago:
Initial reports are almost always wrong.
Sure, you should follow up on them. But don't expect them all to
pan out. The first draft of history is invariably filled with
typos.
(Remember the fire on the Washington Mall? I got a breathless email
about it on 9/11. It never happened either.)
Funny, I just saw Repo Man for the umpteenth time this past
weekend on satellite. Classic.
Re. madpad - There was evidence of wing penetration, albeit not the
perfect cookie-cutter image made famous by a certain cartoon
supergenius coyote. While IANAE (engineer), I would imagine that
the dense construction of the Pentagon had something to do with
that, along with the relatively lightweight construction of the
wings and their function as giant tanks of explosive Jet-A
fuel.
Napoleon said it best, "never ascribe to malice what can adequately be explained by incompetence." I, personally, would be comforted to know that there were people on Earth competent enough to carry off things like the conspiracy nuts posit. Anyone brilliant enough to bring off all those events and never get caught is too smart for me to fight, anyway. The world is a much scarier place if it's populated by nincompoops with massive weapons than if it's run by Lex Luthor and 5 other members of the Illuminati, who, presumably, are smart enough to know what they've got to lose.
The conspiracy theories are a product of holes in the official
story, and in some cases the science doesn't match up they way we
think it should. What I find funny is that the conspiracy theories
themselves have the same problems, so I'm expecting some conspiracy
theories on the conspiracy theories.
The way the buildings fell is suspect, but that all. It does not
prove anything either way.
There are some conservatives on the conspiracy side, big deal.
Partisan people that think the left or the right has a monopoly on
an ideology are idiots and not interested in truth.
""Funny, I just saw Repo Man for the umpteenth time this past
weekend on satellite. Classic""
John Wayne's a fag!! Classic indeed.
The way the buildings fell is suspect...
Yeah, this gets me, too. If you think about all the other times
we've plunged great big jetliners laden with fuel into 110 story
buildings, then the way these towers collapsed makes no sense at
all.
And why does everyone have to have an alternative theory to
be skeptical of the official version of events?
I see different decriptions of skepticism tossed around:
One posits that true knowledge is always uncertain, therefore it is
OK to accept nothing.
The other posits that the method of obtaining "better" knowledge is
through systematic doubt and continual testing until you've reached
an acceptable level of understanding.
The first I see as a useless, faux-intellectual, relativistic
cop-out; basically, "It doesnt matter if your argument is sound -
I'm 'skeptical' " - redefining skepticism as denial of facts as
opposed to the rigorous application of reason.
The second is what I understand as genuine skepticism - that
nothing is accepted de facto without systematic testing, and
consideration of alternatives.
I actually see this first attitude a lot from poseur progressives -
they refuse to accept whatever they think "the man" is saying, but
in the end have little to no concern for having facts at all.
They're happy to just 'feel' a certain way about something,
independent of reality.
I see this most regarding Globalization. I might point out that
instead of protesting creation of jobs, growing economies (which
they call 'exploitation'), they should oppose the US farm
subsidies, which starve African farmers,etc. ... they simply shrug
and go "yeah, but you know, farmers are like, much cooler than
corporate #$%#s. We should like, have subsidies AND aid
Africans".
They really dont care about what the facts of the matter are, so
long as they can imagine a "good-feeling" position to take.
JG
"They believe that military systems work the way Pentagon press
flacks and aerospace salesmen say they should work."
Well, I'm so glad we put our trust in them to protect us from
Soviet attack for all those years. Not to mention all the wasted
money. Not to mention the anti missle system they are building
now.
"They believe that at 8.14 am, when AA flight 11 switched off its
radio and transponder, an FAA flight controller should have called
the National Military Command center and NORAD."
Shouldn't they have? Isn't that standard procedure?
"They appear to have read no military history, which is too bad
because if they did they'd know that minutely planned operations --
let alone responses to an unprecedented emergency -- screw up with
monotonous regularity, by reason of stupidity, cowardice, venality,
weather and all the other whims of providence...."
It also doesn't hurt, when the agency responsible for air defense
just HAPPENS to be running drills involving hijackings on the VERY
DAY of an attack involving hijackings, confusing the situation.
Karen wrote "Anyone brilliant enough to bring off all those
events and never get caught is too smart for me to fight,
anyway."
I think she has pretty much hit the nail on the head here.
The attraction of conspiracy theories is the notion that the
theorists have "outsmarted" the hugely clever conspirators.
"the notion that the theorists have "outsmarted" the hugely
clever conspirators."
For a beautiful example of this attitude...
http://www.911-strike.com/debunking.htm
Last week on NPR's Talk o' the Nation they had a bit
on conspiracy theories and talked to conspiracy historian Bob
Goldberg. He said something that hadn't occurred to me: Conspiracy
theorists seek more than anything else an explanation for something
that has gone wrong in order to believe that the world is not as
out of control as it appears to be.
In this sense, conspiracy theorists have a profoundly
unlibertarian worldview:
1. They cannot grasp conceptually or intuitively that a semblance
of order can come from complex systems.
2. They believe that government planning can be -- and is --
massively successful.
Here's something I learned a long time ago:
Initial reports are almost always
wrong.
Jesse, you must have missed yesterdays thread excoriating bush for
not acting forcefully based on the initial reports
in the first seven minutes.
I wonder if there is any appreciable history of conspiracy theories moving from the lunatic fringes to mainstream acceptance?
I wonder if there is any appreciable history of conspiracy
theories moving from the lunatic fringes to mainstream
acceptance?
Gulf War Syndrome.
Paul,
I think Bush's initial reports came long before 9/11, and said
something like Bin Laden Determined To Strike Using Airplanes.
"He said something that hadn't occurred to me: Conspiracy
theorists seek more than anything else an explanation for something
that has gone wrong in order to believe that the world is not as
out of control as it appears to be."
i think that makes the most sense, more than personal
aggrandizement or whatever. it's the idea that someone, somewhere
in control. almost a replacement for god, a metaphysics of power,
and a reaction to what appears to be incredible contempt by those
in power for the rest of us.
Never ascribe to malice what can adequately be explained by
incompetence.
Karen, that's not Boney, it's "Hanlon's Razor."* NB may have said
something similar, probably in French, of course.
Oh,
GWS is not supposed to exist.
Kevin
*http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanlon%27s_razor
Eric,
Oh yeah!! :-)
Paul, re Gulf War Syndrome, that's an interesting example of
evolving views regarding official explanations, yes, but it was
never a conspiracty theory about who or what was behind a
particular event. I think views on that have changed because the
complaints have continued to mount. I don't believe there's been
any discovery that belies the originally believed understanding of
the phenomenon.
Re criticism of Bush not acting "forcefully" in the first seven
minutes, no one thinks he should have picked his reprisal targets
or even begun thinking about them in those seven minutes. But he
might have gotten off his ass and started doing SOMETHING. Eh, but
I'd agree it's not a very big deal.
Kevin, my point exactly.
Fyodor, GWS is couched in
conspiratorial terms-- the cause, the coverup, the actors
involved. It's got Oliver Stone written all over it.
Paul:
Well, I would have said the supposed extraterrestrial crash at
Roswell, but I think interest in that has died down.
Crop circles would be another option, but that deflated once people
started demonstrating how to make them. (Of which I'm glad, as I
had an argument with an otherwise brilliant woman who'd fallen for
the hype.)
re: GWS conspiracy
(to increase the off-topicness of this)
I had a little secondhand* experience with GWS ; I dont think there
was ever any real "secret" out there, but mostly that it just wasnt
simple enough a story for the media/general public to get their
heads around... so people increasingly started to ascribe
'sinister' motives to government over time, when in fact it was
just another example of military bureacracy producing complicated
fuck-ups on a broad scale...then later the government's legalistic
denials of responsibility.
Also, I think there's a difference between those who claimed to
have "GWS", and people who clearly have gulf war related illnesses.
I think plenty of people got properly sick with real illnesses to
make clear that it wasnt some "mystery" cause - there were a LOT of
vets getting sick at the same time.
There was no one cause, as far as I understand it - but people now
think it was caused mainly by a couple of things.
-) mainly the "Big Blue PB Pills" [Pyridostigmine Bromide] given to
about 400,000 troops,
-) old, crappy biological-agent vaccines given to about 40,000
forward troops,
-) exposure to gasified depleted uranium and tons of benzene etc
from burning oil fields.
-)DS-2 , this a decontaminating agent they were using on everything
- that now is deemed unsafe for human exposure. Little research on
this, but the likelihood was that it contributed strongest to the
people who developed assorted nervous system disorders that they
call GWS now.
Here's a good site that breaks it down pretty clearly.
http://www.ei-resource.org/gulfwar.asp
*One of my best friends, who served as a forward air controller for
advance units during Gulf I, died ~3yrs ago, at age 36, of
GWS-related illness - in his case, AML leukemia. While sick, he was
approached by 3 lawyers all representing different GWS class action
suits; he didnt sign on, being a stubborn bastard. I was present at
a briefing the lawyers gave on the background of their case, which
is where i got some of this info.
Apparently my buddy probably got sick from a combination of the PB
pills and one of the requisites of his gig = as a forward air
controller, he'd spot enemy columns, send on coordinates, then
watch them get shot to bits, i think mostly by A10 warthogs. One of
the downsides of his job (besides not being able to leave his
little hole in the ground for a few days at a time) was having to
visually inspect the destroyed armor. He'd stick his head inside
shot-up tanks and try and estimate how many people had been inside,
based on the number of arms/legs he could identify, things like
that. Apparently he was one of the fewish people breathing in lots
of uranium gas. I believe at the time, the kind of DU they were
using in shells was prone to linger as gas far longer than they
knew. Now apparently it's safer, but people still freak out about
it. There are hundreds of articles about current usage of DU
munitions in iraq right now, and health risks. But i dont think
there's a lot of new science behind it.
Anyhoo, conspiracy it aint. FUBAR? yes.
JG
I might add to the above "heavy metal poisoning" (I WILL add to
the above our troops being poisoned by defoliants: "agent orange"-
was dismissed for years, and its advocates smeared, by the WH, the
VA, & the VFW.
It was VVAW that shoved the aboves collective noses in it, and
rubbed it in deep......
Anyway: Energy in this instance is velocity x mass- to punch a hole
in armour, you need either a low velocity"shaped charge"-a whole
different concept, or a very high velocity, dense projectile (a
kinetic round) Depleted uranium is even denser than lead. So, for a
given size, a DP core surrounded by some very hard shell- Tungsten?
Tungsten carbide?- is the biggest bang for the buck.
The byproduct of a kinetic round hitting a tank (besides dead crew
& a totalled tank) is very fine heavy metal dust. Wanna breathe
lead dust? Can you keep a 19 year old Marine from stickin his head
in dead enemy armour??
Experience tells me the State & it numerous pimps &
apologists will smear DU dust vets & thier defenders.
Even the chickenhawks will chime in, if things start goin bad for
the VA, & Cheneys flying monkey, Decider.
I wonder if there is any appreciable history of conspiracy
theories moving from the lunatic fringes to mainstream
acceptance?
I'm surprised nobody's given the obvious answer to this: the JFK
assassination. I forget the numbers, but a depressingly large
percentage of the population believe Kennedy was killed by a
high-level cabal with what would have to be hundreds, if not
thousands, of conspirators.
"I wonder if there is any appreciable history of conspiracy
theories moving from the lunatic fringes to mainstream
acceptance?"
How about the life and death of Jesus?
Lamar = thats the same story dude linked to above.
it's a bit misleading, as mentioned.
To quote =
"U.S. and foreign veterans of the Gulf War do suffer from an array
of very real problems, according to the Veterans
Administration-sponsored report released Tuesday.
Yet there is *no one complex of symptoms* to suggest those veterans
-- nearly 30 percent of all those who served -- suffered or still
suffer from a single identifiable syndrome."
The fact that a strangely large percentage of all that were
deployed suffer from a wide array of well-documented illnesses...
this is not in dispute at all.
There may be no 'gulf war syndrome', and there can still be many
thousands of severely ill people made ill as a consequence of their
Gulf service.
JG
Much of the impetus for vast conspiracy theories shares the same
root as Dualism: impute to your enemies an ABSOLUTE evil. It makes
you feel so good for just believing and "aligning" yourself with
the opposite approach, making you (by implication) ABSOLUTELY
good.
It's an old gambit. Pretty silly, but old hat. Psychologically it
fits with in-group love and out-group hate, and is one of the more
primitive aspects to human social psychology.
That is, it's a crutch. It allows one to feel good merely for
existing in opposition to the Supreme Evil elsewhere.
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