Julian Sanchez | November 22, 2005
Bob Woodward's got a new Deep Throat, the White House leaves its plank to pluck at Murtha's mote, and nuke-happy Mullahs sound a defiant note—in the new Reason Express.
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About Murtha:
If the War Party is concerned that a pullout and handoff will
appear to be a retreat, and would demonstrate to terrorists that we
can be pushed around by their attacks, maybe they shouldn't go
around the world telling everybody within earshot, "A pullout would
be a retreat, and would show that the United States can be
intimidated by terrorist attacks."
Just a thought.
A pullout would be a retreat, and would show that the United
States can be intimidated by terrorist attacks
If we pull out now more Iraquis will come and bomb us again for
another 9-11. We have got to punish the Iraqis with a strong
consistant war on Iraq in order to defeet terrorisim. Bush is
protecting us and fighting for our freedoms in Iraq. We should bomb
the whole place, kill everyone who get in the way, drain out all
the oil and ship it all to the US. We need the oild to fuel our
thirsty SUVs. For the reason of safety on the highway we have got
to get everyone into an SUV. That is why the armies drive the big
hummer, for safety and why we need the military to enforce the 55
speed limit to save lives and protect the planed from terrorism and
in order to stop terror we need to inforce copywright enfrigement
so that our companies can use the money to drill for more oil so we
can fuel our big SUVs and stop terror because everyone they want
the biggest SUV on the planet to be safe from terrorism of rode
rage on the highways to be safer.
Well, if the administration ever had given us some actual
metrics for "victory" in Iraq, they could have saved face
already.
If they had said, "Once the Iraqis have a constitution and X number
of army/security troops, our job is done and it's up to the Iraqi
people to take up the torch of freedom yada, yada," then we could
have already started pulling out.
But no, they haven't even given us that, so they can't really save
face if they back out now because they're incompetent and a bunch
of pussies.
RC, Redeploying our troops could be explained either way. Why are you so determined to do Al Qaeda's spinning for them?
RC, what would you prefer: the pullout Kennedy had planed for 1964, or the helicopters taking off from the roof of the embassy? People were saying the same thing as you in 64, 65, 67 - good thing we saved face and stayed the course, eh? No emboldening our enemies there.
What Lowdog said. What we needed was a referencable list of
objectives that we could point to and claim 'good enough'.
I disagree with joe that terrorists need any help whatsoever
getting out the 'we drove them out' message. Expect any interest
group to use the most self interested explanation. Also, it could
as easily be argued that Murtha is doing marketing by claiming that
we are getting wiped and accomplishing nothing. I don't find either
marketing case especially compelling. We have to have the
discussion, so both of those views will be out there.
As it stands, we need some kind of milestone or event.
The objectives should have been the elimination of Iraq's
Weapons of Mass Destruction and the fall of the Saddam
regime.
Now, because of the WMD screw up, we have to make something else
up. You can't be trying to figure out the right circumstances to
leave after you've gone in.
Of course the terrorists are going to spin it that way, Jason,
regardless of actual events. They'll spin it that way even if your
sought-after milestone occurs. My point is, the rhetoric this
administration has been using has only served to further those
efforts.
And Murtha isn't claiming that we are getting wiped out. It's
telling that no hawks - not even one as generally honest as Jason -
will actually address what the man is saying, and need to make up
positions for him that are easier to argue against: that he says
we're losing, that he's calling for retreat, that he wants an
"immediate" withdrawal.
joe:
I have no problem with Murtha, but I heard him specifically state
what I indicated above: 1) We are 'obviously losing' and 2) We are
not accomplishing anything.
To the extent that he is pressing for objectives around Iraqi troop
and internal security development before we leave, I agree with
him. To the extent that he thinks marking a date on the calendar
for a withdrawal is especially helpful, I don't.
"The objectives should have been the elimination of Iraq's
Weapons of Mass Destruction and the fall of the Saddam
regime."
I don't think this would ever have been sufficient, though both
were necessary. Wipe out Saddam, confirm the absence or presence of
WMD, and leave with no government in place just won't work. There
always needed to be some sort of establish order objective in
there, and that objective somehow had to include an expectation for
security after we left.
Jason,
Had we found and destroyed a few WMDs and WMD plants, no one would
care about the government. We could have left Iraq with no
government above the level of the village, and our exit would have
been considered a great victory - in the context we're discussing,
which is the perception our exit would create among
onlookers.
And "confirm the...absence of WMDs" as a triumph is wishful
thinking on your part - this confirmation has made us look like,
take your pick, incompetant boobs or dishonest, warmongering
imperialists.
"And "confirm the...absence of WMDs" as a triumph is wishful
thinking on your part - this confirmation has made us look like,
take your pick, incompetant boobs or dishonest, warmongering
imperialists."
Triumph may be strong, as that connotes popularity, but it was
still a necessary component of the strategy. And, as I've said
before, it is the only reason you can now be smug. ;)
And, I disagree about what would have happened if we removed the
government and destroyed some WMDs.
Fred,
I like the way you think. In addition, I've noticed that Saudi
Arabia is a very low-lying country. If we can get the seas to rise
a dozen feet or so thanks to global warming, won't most of the bad
guys be flooded? It's like smashing two cars with one SUV!
We could have left Iraq with no government above the level
of the village
I doubt that. I always thought that setting up a new government and
leaving the place in a stable state was one of our goals.
Of course, now the problem is that Iraq may never be stable. In
lieu of the type of specific metrics Lowdog talked about, there
will ALWAYS be the potential that we look like we're leaving to
avoid more casualties. Well, as long as there are any on any sort
of ongoing basis. Naturally I hope that will change, but for now
there seems to be no evidence it will.
RC, what would you prefer: the pullout Kennedy had planed
for 1964, or the helicopters taking off from the roof of the
embassy?
Kennedy's planned pullout was wholly contingent on satisfactory
progress against the communist forces (progress that had never and
would never occur). And he clearly stated in several conversations
that even then, it couldn't happen until after his re-election.
Oh goody, I've long thought that what Hit & Run was truly lacking was a good, heated, nasty, drawn-out and utterly pointless debate on whether Kennedy really would have gotten us out of Viet Nam if he had lived!
Now, fyodor, no one's being nasty. I just wanted to point out that I'd read something different about Kennedy's Viet Nam plans. Is history pointless? I wonder. I don't always agree with Joe, but I could never get nasty with him. He'd tear me to pieces if I did.
Now, fyodor, no one's being nasty.
Well not yet, but I can always hope! :-)
RC, Redeploying our troops could be explained either way.
Why are you so determined to do Al Qaeda's spinning for
them?
Umm, because I hate America?
I'll have you know, Jason, I was smug long before this war
began. ;-)
And as for "necessary component," you're still ducking the issue
being discussed - how the pullout will be perceived.
RC, "Umm, because I hate America?" If you say so, though I'd
consider "because I'm trying to win a domestic political debate
more than put forward and intelligent foreign policy" to be more
apt. Sort of like why Bush needs to keep fighting this war, despite
- nay, because of - the collapse of his initial justification.
I've still yet to hear a good explanation of how a pullout will
achieve positive results -- from Murtha or anyone else. His
contention that somehow removing U.S. troops will improve the
situation seems like nothing more than wishful thinking. What if
the more likely scenario occurs and Iraq decends further into
bloody chaos?
Regardless of whether you supported going to war or not, now that
we are there, have spent 2000+ lives and countless billions, and
seem to have created at least some rudimentary democratic
institutions, is it reasonable to just bail out and possibly waste
all that effort?
Again, even if you choose to disbelieve the evidence of Saddam's
terrorist connections and think there were no terrorists in Iraq
before we got there, there is no question that Al Qaeda is there
now -- ask Zarqawi. How is a withdrawal now going to be perceived
as anything but a victory for the enemy and an ignominious retreat
for the U.S.?
What do we lose by simply waiting it out longer until the Iraqi
government is better established and better able to fight its own
battles? We lose a minimal amount of casualties at a rate which we
can sustain indefinitely, and we spend a lot of money, which, given
how much money the government wastes, we can probably also sustain
indefinitely.
We've been there this long, why not wait it out?
When the Iraqi government asks us to leave, we leave.
When the Iraqi government asks us to leave, we
leave.
When would even a nice, democratic government want us to
leave? We're providing what rather little security they have.
Put another way, when are Japan and Germany going to ask us to
leave?
David C.,
Our commanders on the ground are telling us that the presence of
our occupying army is what is driving both the insurgency, and the
influx of jihadis. "What do we lose by simply waiting it out longer
until the Iraqi government is better established and better able to
fight its own battles?"
First, there will be more battles for them to fight. Second, the
presence of American troops impedes the growth of the Iraqi
security forces, by encouraging potential recruits to join the
insurgency instead, and allows the Iraqis to hand off their
problems to the Americans.
The conditions you deem necessary for us to leave will never come
to pass until we leave.
I grew up in Murtha's district (only a few miles from his
house). He (or his father, I can't remember which one holds the
dynastic seat anymore) was regarded as the biggest bringer home of
bacon in the entire House. He trades influence and federal money
like baseball cards, and brings an unconscionable amount of money
into an area that long ago should have died with the steel industry
but hangs on like Terry Schiavo. Murtha is always trumpeting this
or that grant, subsidy, or handout that he brought to the area, and
he keep getting elected because the people there are lifelong
unionists who are convinced that someday the steel mills and mines
will open back up and it'll be the 1950s again.
Regardless of the merits of Murtha's Iraq proposal, it grates that
he's getting attention. He's so secure in his seat that it's a
wonder he even gets challenged in general elections anymore.
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