Michael Young | April 22, 2005
Fouad Ajami has written a very elegant, and personal, account of recent events in Lebanon for Foreign Affairs. For those who follow Ajami, this is probably the moment of his final reconciliation with the old country, toward which he had long harbored an ambiguity that blended admiration and considerable unease.
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I agree. But it's been a while coming. You could see it in the Hariri obituary, and a couple of pieces in US News and WSJ, where, as I noted on my blog, he was sounding the Lebanonist line.
Lots of interesting stuff. One point he made caught my
attention: the concept of a "soft landing" for Syria.
I know, I'm a terrible American who sees the entire world through
Washington, but indulge me:
When this began, the administration and Middle East hawks were
determined to leverage the unrest not just to achieve the
independence that the opposition protesters were working for, but
to try to leverage the overthrow of the Assad regime. Every action
and statement by the Syrians, even those indicating a willingness
to leave, a desire to abide by the UN resolutions, or an openness
to dialoge, was met with a bellicose response. It was clear that
the goal was not just to get Syria out of Lebanon, but to make the
process as painful and humiliating for the Syrian regime as
possible. When a former John Kerry advisor wrote an editorial
urging the administration not to try to exploit the situation to
achive unrelated strategic ends, Michael Young wrote a nastygram,
accusing him of wanting Syria to control the country, loving Saddam
Hussein, siding with the terrorists, yadda yadda yadda.
Then the Hizbollah demonstration happened, and the downside of
making the withdrawal as humiliating as possible - the possibility
that the Syrians might not pull out at all, or that they would gin
up a "civil war" to give them an excuse to stay - suddenly seemed a
lot more likely.
There was a real shift in rhetoric at this point. When was the last
time you heard Bush complain that the interrum pullout to the Bekaa
Valley was meaningless? Or even say much of anything at all about
the situation?
The abandonment of the strategy of holding the Lebanese'
aspirations hostage to American strategic interests can only be a
good thing for the success of the Independence Intifadeh.
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