Tim Cavanaugh | March 16, 2005
Reason has never had any kind words for former Secretary of State Colin Powell, so it may be superfluous to revisit, at this late date, the topic of what a failure he was. Certainly, earning the title of Biggest Flop in the history of the Department of State would take quite an effort, requiring the candidate to beat out such stalwarts as Dean Rusk and William Rogers, Robert Lansing and Cyrus Vance. The notoriously retiring Powell, a man clearly more comfortable munching shrimp cocktail at some function for D.C. swells than putting in the long hours required to fail spectacularly, doesn't seem like a good prospect for such an honor.
But Powell has an unusual advantage in that he's been immediately succeeded by an obviously more capable S.O.S.—and in the same presidential administration, thus making invidious comparison easier. Condoleezza Rice has been on fire since taking over at Foggy Bottom, and if her performance has the special benefit of making Sen. Barbara Boxer look like an even bigger blockhead than she normally does, it also puts Powell's tenure solidly in the shade. Just before the invasion of Iraq, I floated the idea that the travel-averse Powell might be responsible for Bush 43's failure to reconstruct the All-Star Team of allies Bush 41 assembled for the first Gulf War. Now Powell's out, the trans-Atlantic rift is mending (despite America's jittery checkpoint troops), and the ivory-tickling Condi is playing her way into the coeurs of all France.
That's quite a turnaround from the days of the Powell State Department—and Powell was supposedly the guy the Europeans liked. Plenty of ink has been spilled over America's supposed diplomatic isolation, and it would shoot all kinds of pet theories to hell if we found out the Elevator Killer was...Merv Griffin! But maybe the tortured diplomacy of the first Bush administration was never really about Bush's rashness or European perfidy. Maybe it was Powell all along.
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HA! Love that headline Tim.
So is it just coincidence that "The man with two brains" was
showing on AMC this afternoon?"
Condi does cut a better figure, no doubt. BTW, is it just me or has she had some work done? I swear she looks better than she used to.
Reason: the only publication that can make a reference to "The
Man With Two Brains" when discussing the tenure of a former
Secretary of State.
Bravo.
It's amazing that both the elder Powell AND the junior Powell
have followed such dismally similar paths.
By displaying a complete lack of consistency, initiative and
leadership - in an administration that rewards that sort of thing,
no less - are leaving their once promising posts amid such
mediocrity.
Now, now, everyone. Let me paraphrase an essay I read many years
ago.
All of us have our good qualities and some not so good. It would
behoove us all to search for these good qualities and refrain from
making accusations and speaking and writing badly about any
individual just because he has two brains, is incompetent, and
generally a low down, ignorant, afterbirth of a mongolian mongrel
who cleans defecation in the slums of China.
You know...I always liked Powell until he became a Bush
appointee.
While I hoped - along with a lot of other folks - that he would be
a tempering influence on the more 'excitable' aspects of Bush's
cabinet, I always got the impression that Powell was just a poor
fit.
Before 9/11, and throughout the 2000 election and the launch of
the new administration, we were ALL still in the 90's...and rightly
so - there was (for the time being) every reason to suppose that
the first decade of the new century would be broadly like the last
decade of the previous century.
The new Bush administration was a fairly reasonable Republican
version of how to govern in the 90's. Genuinely conservative - much
moreso than Bush I...but with room for guys like Powell.
Then everything changed.
I think a lot of the "incandesent rage" of the Democratic Left is
just 90's nostalgia...and I see a lot of that reflected here in
H&R. Whe a set of parents get divorced, the kids often act-out
in sullen and truculent ways, because kids don't like to have their
world change.
Powell was a type of the 90's - a real Clintonesque, "let me
explain MY feelings" lip-chewer. It didn't play well with Europeans
really anxious about American initiatives. Although they kinda
liked the guy for a while (hell, they LOVED Clinton), they didn't
feel like they understood the Administration...because they were
getting a boatload about how Powell FEELS. Eventually they "felt"
like they were being misled...and who can blame them?
We're united with Europe on Iran and the Europeans like us
better now. All we had to do was abandon the US position of the
past couple of years and adopt the European one.
Why, it's the old "capitulation" gambit! A most clever negotiation
strategy. I suppose Powell never would have thought up that
one.
Um, the only way Rice has outshone Powell so far is in her (dominatrix) attire. She's only been in the job a few months; I think it's a bit early to make any substantive judgments.
Like John Q, I tend to think declaring Rice the greatest diplomatic mind since Talleyrand is premature.
Andrew,
Interesting analysis. Too bad it bears no resemblance to the facts.
Your assertion that "The new Bush administration was a fairly
reasonable Republican version of how to govern in the 90's.
Genuinely conservative - much moreso than Bush I...but with room
for guys like Powell." ignores that fact that, while there were
guys like Powell and Cheney, right from the get-go this
administration was loaded with sanctimonious fundie wackos that
believe they were hand picked by God almighty to run the life of
every living soul on the planet. Furthermore, Bush the younger was
never conservative in the Reagan/Gingrich sense of the word. Even
prior to 9/11 he was moving as fast as he could to explode the
budget, size, and power of the federal government.
John Q makes an exceptional point, though I think Rice has more
going for her than Powell did. Lot's of folks praised Powell for
quite some time. That eventually morphed into sympathy until his
ineffectiveness became apparent.
Rice is so far displaying a great deal of enthusiasm perhaps
because - unlike Powell - she actually believes in her
mission.
So far, she's outshining Powell, but public opinion is a fickle
thing and when you've spent 4 years intentionally pissing people
off, somebody might be itching for a payback.
I'm hardly a fan of the Bushies in general and Condi in particular.
But they and she are playing the foreign policy game much smarter
than before.
Though I'm loath to admit it, IMHO I don't think Powell would've
been up for this and I think Rice is.
I'm not big on Powell - always seemed like the most
overestimated man in America to me. But let's not start worshippint
at the shrine of Condi either. Actually having the backing of the
President (Rice) instead of his grudging acceptance that he has to
appoint you because of a campaign promise (Powell) can make the job
of Sec. of State a lot easier.
Remember Bush and Rumsfeld cutting Powell off at the knees over his
North Korea statement? You're not going to see that with Rice.
Warren
Bush II was not a conservative in the Reagan/Gingrich sense,
because Gingrich was yesterday's man, finished by '95...really, a
man of the 80's - and the 80's 'been over a LONG time, now!
Bush would not have increased the domestic budget much, and with an
expanding economy and SS Reform, you wouldn't have been feeling it.
He would only have increased the military by modest amounts, and
with a view to containing China. The "faith-based" initiatives"
would have been about the same, and in some respects our foreign
policy would have been even LESS active than under Clinton.
All those campaign promises were about as sincere as such things
ever are - 9/11 changed all that.
The script had to be re-written with whatever lay to hand. Powell
didn't fit, and probably should have been booted over to some UN
post, at once.
joe
...more like what happens when a Secretery of State backs the
President.
I'm a long way from being a Bush fan and that includes brother Jeb. But, although I don't care for Bush I detested John Kerry and everything he stood for and against and then for again.
It would have been much worse under Kerry....
If you want to be under Kerry, crimethink, go for it. I bet
Tereza's sick of him by now anyway.
and if her performance has the special benefit of making
Sen. Barbara Boxer look like an even bigger blockhead than she
normally does, it also puts Powell's tenure solidly in the
shade.
If anything, Boxer made Rice look like a blockhead, by which I mean
"liar." And making Boxer look good is a bad thing.
I didn't say Rice was the greatest diplomat since Talleyrand. I said she's a better diplomat than Powell, and I'll stand by that, even on the evidence of a couple months.
Tim,
I think you are absolutely correct.
Here, for what it may be worth, is a wee op-ed I wrote for The
Scotsman last November that may have been a little, but only a
little harsh on Powell...
yours aye
AM
http://news.scotsman.com/archive.cfm?id=1327132004
Don't mourn Colin Powell's departure
ALEX MASSIE
WEEP no tears for Colin Powell. Instead, reflect on what might have
been had Mr Powell proven himself a better secretary of state. One
remarkable feature of the past four years has been how few of the
United States� diplomatic failures have been blamed, even in part,
on the country�s first diplomat. Mr Powell has been a Teflon
Secretary of State; history may not be so kind.
One can understand why Mr Powell stayed to try and frustrate a
foreign policy he did not believe in; less explicable is why he
continued in office after it was clear he had failed in his
mission.
Mr Powell was a disturbing but unsackable influence. In this
respect he was George W Bush�s very own Gordon Brown. But while Mr
Brown can point to domestic achievement, Mr Powell�s scheming and
sustained leaking produced little more than evidence of his own
emasculation.
Mr Powell enjoyed the trappings of office without bearing the
responsibility for policies he declined to support.
Saddled with a policy with which he did not agree, he had two
options: resign with dignity or sell the president�s policy abroad
with conviction. He did neither.
Mr Powell travelled only half as much as his most recent
predecessors. We can only speculate whether more intensive efforts
from the secretary of state would have secured an agreement to
allow US troops to enter Iraq via Turkey, ensuring that no "Sunni
Triangle" north of Baghdad would have been allowed to exist
unmolested by coalition troops. What we do know is that Mr Powell
refused even to go to Ankara to make his president�s case in
person.
Worse, his lack of loyalty compromised his department and his
president. Whatever her other faults - and she was not a commanding
national security adviser - anyone meeting Condoleezza Rice knows
they are speaking to someone with the ear of the president and
hearing what Mr Bush wants them to hear. That clarity will be
valuable.
It was typical, as we know from Bob Woodwards� book Plan of Attack,
that Mr Powell should feel personally affronted when Dominique de
Villepin sabotaged the secretary of state�s efforts to win support
for a second United Nations resolution prior to the invasion of
Iraq. Mr Powell seemed more concerned by the blow to his pride than
by the setback for US and British policy.
More importantly, Mr Powell�s departure is evidence that the
president is now his own man. In 2000 much was made of the
stability that wise old heads such as Mr Powell, Ms Rice and Dick
Cheney would bring to a president startlingly ill-informed about
the rest of the world.
Four years on, for better or for worse, the president�s authority
and vision, compromised by Mr Powell, reign unchallenged. It�s also
something to be welcomed since, for all his popularity, Mr Powell
has shown few signs of the scope or substance of the president�s
vision. In this instance, the pupil has outstripped his tutor.
Andrew's original bullshit:
The new Bush administration was a fairly reasonable Republican
version of how to govern in the 90's. Genuinely conservative - much
moreso than Bush I...but with room for guys like Powell.
Andrew's more recent bullshit:
Bush II was not a conservative in the Reagan/Gingrich sense,
because Gingrich was yesterday's man, finished by '95...really, a
man of the 80's - and the 80's 'been over a LONG time,
now!
Flip-flop.
Bush would not have increased the domestic budget much, and
with an expanding economy and SS Reform, you wouldn't have been
feeling it.
(a) You don't know what Bush would have done (you sure are fond of
baseless predictions).
(b) The economy wasn't expanding when Bush entered the WH.
(c) Bush's SS reform package as it now stands is dead in the water.
What factors would have made it more likely to pass in his first
term?
He would only have increased the military by modest amounts,
and with a view to containing China.
Maybe or maybe not.
The "faith-based" initiatives" would have been about the same,
and in some respects our foreign policy would have been even LESS
active than under Clinton.
Maybe or maybe not.
Anyone know how Powell's total time spent abroad stacks up against other S.O.S.'s?
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