Brian Doherty | December 9, 2004
LP presidential candidate Michael Badnarik has teamed with the Green Party's David Cobb--and now the Kerry campaign--to demand a recount in Ohio's election. It appears as if that recount will indeed happen--to the consternation of some local election officials:
"I'm just really thoroughly disgusted with the whole thing," [Ross County Board of Elections Director Nancy] Bell said...."I resent our honesty and integrity being questioned."
Bell said if there were a great difference between the "unofficial vote totals and official vote totals," that is the total votes on election night, and the later count which includes provisional ballots, the board would want a recount. However, she said, there is not a great difference between these totals.
She's not the only one disturbed by the recount request. This move from Badnarik's team has sparked a fair amount of controversy among some LP supporters as well. Some think it merely benefits the Greens and the Democrats and others who wish to cast a shadow of illegitimacy over Bush's second term, wastes taxpayer resources (although the challengers had to pay Ohio's counties $10 per precinct for the recount, the effort will cost far more than that--Ohio Secretary of State Kenneth Blackwell claims as much as $1.5 million), and provides no benefit for the LP and the possible P.R. harm of making the party seem a tool of disgruntled leftists. (No recount requests have been made in states where Kerry was the official victor, and in Ohio apparently the Greens needed Badnarik as a frontman for suit since, as he was a candidate on the ballot and Cobb was not, he had standing for the challenge.)
The money for the campaign is being raised by the Green side, with, according to reports from workers with the Badnarik campaign, only $10,000 or so raised through Badnarik supporters, and the Badnarik web site no longer has a contribution option for this cause. Badnarik wonders about the wide gap between early exit polls and the final results, saying
"Our goal is to uncover voting irregularities and bring them to light...Voters all across America have a legitimate expectation that their votes are going to be counted, and that they're going to be counted legitimately."
The national LP has disavowed Badnarik's effort, in a statement from National Chair Mike Dixon, supplied to me today by LP press secretary George Getz:
"The national Libertarian Party was unaware of this lawsuit until after it was filed, and no party funds have been spent in the effort. Mr. Badnarik is making a well-intentioned effort to protect the integrity of the voting process. However, because no one anticipates that a recount will change the outcome in Ohio, the Libertarian Party prefers not to see taxpayer resources expended in this effort."
The executive director of the Ohio state LP, Robert Butler, has also been complaining in some e-mails I've seen circulating about angry donors and the fear of negative press because of the recount campaign, a campaign in which he sees no real upside for the LP. People supporting the recount argue that it presents the LP positively as disinterested defenders of the integrity of the electoral system, and helps cement possibly beneficial future ties with Greens down the road.
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From the No Publicity is Bad Publicity School of Public
Relations, there's an argument to be made that keeping the LP in
the press is a good thing.
I didn't say it was a good argument; I just said it was an
argument.
See!
Maybe it ain't over after all.
Disregard a couple of threads back.
Maybe some of my Scots-Irish cousins here in Ohio forgot to pay
their poll taxes?
If this recount turns out to be a bad PR move, it might jeopardize the LP's chances in the next presidential election. They'd better be careful, here.
If the challengers had to pay for the recount, then what would
the problem be with this? I mean, christ, why does it automatically
make you a loony leftist to want every vote counted properly? Were
the Republicans shouting about voter fraud in 1960 dismissed as
"crazy righties," or have we only recently turned free and fair
voting into a partisan issue?
And, yes, some of the evidence pointing to voter fraud across the
County is indeed compelling. In fact, I don't doubt there is some
level of fraud in every election (from both the D's and the R's),
so somehow saying our election went perfectly seems awfully naive
and saying there is always a certain level of fraud and so it
balances out does not make voter fraud okay.
Not that any of it matters, as one could just as well blatantly fix
an election and then dismiss all critics as "disgruntled leftists"
and that would probably be the end of it.
Take, for example, the Washington governor's race. (R) Dino Rossi
won (after a machine recount) by 42 votes out of 2.9 million cast -
that is a .001% margin. The D's are now paying (in full) the cost
of the hand recount. It is not inconceivable that an optical
scanner would have an error rate of more than .001% and the hand
recount may indeed be the most accurate. But that did not stop
Rossi from calling the effort "sad and desperate," as if that was a
good enough 'argument' as to why the recount should not move
forward.
Oh and I forgot to mention that perhaps the intent of the Ohio recount is not to actually change the result (unlikely with such a big gap), but to highlight the fact that a hand re-count is, in fact, impossible when you vote on a machine with no verifiable paper trail. Again, I see nothing wrong with that.
The main problem with this is that the challengers are not paying for the recount effort. Sure, $10 per precinct may add up to a bunch, but it's nowhere near the actual cost. How can a Libertarian justify such a frivolous use of public money, especially if the recount has no chance of actually changing the result of the election? This had to be a Green idea from the beginning, but it's a big shame that the Ls fell for it.
Am I the only libertarian who doesn't get upset if tax dollars are spent on auditing the government?
No, you're not. Of all the frivilous things government spends
taxpayer money on, this might be the best of the lot.
...and the yuks we all get, listening to government employees
complain about pointless expenditures, might even make the whole
exercise worth the price of admission.
thoreau,
The only expenditures needed are for straw smeared with pitch
torches plus pitchforks. Even the Scots-Irish are able to spring
for those.
audit shmaudit.
Am I the only libertarian who doesn't get upset if tax
dollars are spent on auditing the government?
Auditting makes sense when precise figures are relevant -- e.g.,
when determining how much money the government spent. Since it
doesn't matter whether Bush won Ohio by 110,000 votes, 120,000
votes, or 130,000 votes, auditting the Ohio vote seems silly.
There's no credible chance he lost the state.
But since it's not my money being spent and the end result will be
that the Democrats, Greens, and Libs look petty and vindictive, I
can't really say that I'm that strongly against it either.
I dunno, I think there's a decent possibility that some major voter fraud scandal shakes loose from this. If so, it will be more than worth it. Though I suspect that it will result in reforms that only make the problem worse.
Dan: I agree that there is no reasonable chance that the recount will change who won Ohio. But I cannot agree that it is insignificant whether Bush after a recount turns out to have won the state by, say, 100,000 rather than 118,000 votes. I think that is quite significant to the 18,000 people whose votes were (hypothetically) miscounted. One's own individual vote is almost never enough to change the outcome of an election, and yet having it counted is an individual right, and I thought libertarians were in favor of individual rights...
Db wrote:
"The main problem with this is that the challengers are not paying
for the recount effort. Sure, $10 per precinct may add up to a
bunch, but it's nowhere near the actual cost."
That's the fault of neither the Greens nor the Libertarians. The
State of Ohio set the price of a recount back in the 1950's and
didn't bother to update it or index it to inflation. Would you have
them forfeit their right to a recount because the state set the
price too low?
Dan wrote:
"But since it's not my money being spent and the end result will be
that the Democrats, Greens, and Libs look petty and vindictive, I
can't really say that I'm that strongly against it either."
As an Ohioan, I'll be paying for the recount and I don't have a
problem with it. The Republicans looked petty and vindictive back
in the 1990's, but they were effective in diminishing President
Clinton's effectiveness and making it difficult for him to govern.
If we Democrats can be as effective in hindering President Bush's
second-term agenda, a petty and vindictive image will be a small
price to pay.
having it counted is an individual right, and I thought
libertarians were in favor of individual rights
If accurate vote counts are so vitally important, shouldn't
libertarians favor non-anonymous ballots backed up by a reliable
government identification system? That way we could be absolutely
certain that our specific vote was being accurately recorded,
because there would be a publically-available file detailing
exactly how every person in America voted, and we could all look at
them to reassure ourselves that everything was fair.
"Ah", you might say, "But that would violate our privacy
rights."
Indeed it would! So the question in that case wouldn't be "is
accurate vote-counting something libertarians should care about" --
it is "is the right to have your vote accurately counted more
important than your right to privacy". Most people share what I
feel is the libertarian position on that: no.
Something similar applies in this case, because recounts aren't
free. They are paid for with taxes, and taxes are stolen money.
Even assuming that recounts are more accurate and less fraud-ridden
than original counts, the very act of obtaining that more-accurate
count requires violating people's right to property; you have to
steal people's money to pay for it. So the question, again, isn't
"are accurate counts important"; it is "are accurate counts more
important than property rights".
In my opinion it depends on whether or not a recount has a
reasonable chance of changing the outcome of the election. If there
is no reasonable chance that the outcome will be changed, then the
value of each vote is $0, and property rights win. That is the
scenario that, in my opinion, applies here. $1.5 million in stolen
wealth is being pissed away by the state to satisfy the egos of a
few upset politicians.
Of course, the situation could be rectified by requiring that
anyone requesting a recount pay all of the state's expenses (with
the fee fully refundable in the event of a reversal of the
election's results, of course).
they were effective in diminishing President Clinton's
effectiveness
So he was only able to bang, what, like half the interns he wanted
to? Damn Republicans. :)
"the end result will be that the Democrats, Greens, and Libs
look petty and vindictive"
Dan made my earlier point for me. Why exactly is wanting a recount
petty and vindictive? What if there really was voter fraud on a
large scale? Would they still be petty and vindictive?
Let me ask the doubters, and Bush voters in particular, another
question - what evidence would you need to see before you felt
there was overt fraud in this or any election? Would you care about
it, or demand an investigation, even though your guy won?
There should be some tangible point to the recount, and I'm not
sure Badnarik has one. Keep in mind that he was the standard bearer
for a political party, and the purpose of a party is to elect
candidates and to move policy in a particular direction.
Badnarik stands no chance to win the state, obviously. He stands no
chance to move up in any meaningful way, including reaching the 5%
needed to give the LP of Ohio automatic ballot access. This latter
should be the real objective, but it seems to not have crossed
Badnarik's mind.
If it is generating ill will rather than good will, then the Oscar
Wilde Rule goes out the window. If the Executive Director of the LP
of Ohio is complaining that the effort is hurting their affiliate,
then it is far worse than mere rah-rah principle
wheel-spinning.
Moreover, it is maddening to me that Badnarik could find a way to
raise $10,000 AFTER the election, when it could have been far more
useful to raise it DURING THE CAMPAIGN so that he might have earned
the ballot access for Ohio. That would have been money and energy
very well spent.
"is the right to have your vote accurately counted more
important than your right to privacy". Most people share what I
feel is the libertarian position on that: no.
This is the most ludicrous way you could frame this question. It's
not a choice between ballot secrecy and letting the government bug
your home without a warrant; it's a choice between having a secret
ballot and a non-secret ballot. If you phrased the question: Would
you be willing to sign your ballot in order to ensure that it's
counted accurately, well, like you, I have no fucking clue what
"most people" would say. But I suspect many if not most Americans
might agree with my answer, which is hell
yes! In any event, I've never seen any kind of referendum,
state legislature proposal, congressional bill, or even a private
poll that would give some indication of how "most people" feel
about this issue, so we're both pissing into the wind.
I think the recount may, if the press coverage is done well
enough, uncover larger problems with the politics of voting in any
state.
For instance, the owner of the company supplying all the electronic
voting machines in Ohio had made a statement along the lines of - I
will do whatever it takes to get George W. Bush reelected- before
the election. He also made very large contributions to the GOP, but
unlike most businesses who donate to both parties to cover their
ass, he donated zero to the Dems. Also, the SOS of Ohio Blackwell
was the chairman of the reelect Bush campaign in Ohio. Do these
allegations and facts (some of it) plant a seed of doubt? There
probably isn't a conflict of interest in this at all, huh? Both of
these guys may be able to duck out the public life now and go teach
Ethics classes at Crackpot U.
I realize we may never....will never have an election larger than
student council without fraud of some degree, but if we spend
(well, someone else spending our money) so much money on something
that is crooked anyway, why bother? Just have an American
Gladiators-like contest to see who can cheat the best? Televise it
as the next "reality" t.v. show and profit from it. What a
turn-around of the bottom line!
Would you be willing to sign your ballot in order to ensure
that it's counted accurately, well, like you, I have no fucking
clue what "most people" would say. But I suspect many if not most
Americans might agree with my answer, which is hell yes!
"Many if not most". Nice weasel words -- tell me, is there any
percentage of the electorate that doesn't qualify as either "many"
or "most"? I'm sure you can find plenty of people who are willing
to vote non-anonymously. But the idea that the majority of
Americans want government officials to know how they voted -- which
is what you're proposing, even if you don't understand that -- is
just silly.
In any event, I've never seen any kind of referendum, state
legislature proposal, congressional bill, or even a private poll
that would give some indication of how "most people" feel about
this issue
Anonymous ballots were implemented by congressional and state
legislative actions and replaced the non-anonymous ballot
procedures used previously. Attempts to reverse this have never
managed to gain majority support (despite the fact that reversing
it would favor the incumbent politicians). That pretty much settles
that.
These discussions often remind me of the People's Front of Judea
(or was it the Judean People's Front) meetings.
Good Day, Brothers and Sisters. Now a vote to end my post; do I
hear a second...
the owner of the company supplying all the electronic voting
machines in Ohio had made a statement along the lines of - I will
do whatever it takes to get George W. Bush reelected
O'Dell's words were "I am committed to helping Ohio deliver its
electoral votes to the president next year", not "I will do
whatever it takes to get George Bush elected".
Do these allegations and facts (some of it) plant a seed of
doubt?
No, for three reasons. The first is that, as noted above, his
actual statement of intent wasn't at all sinister. The second is
that it is ridiculous to believe that a wealthy CEO would risk
decades in prison and the loss of his entire business just to
deliver Ohio to George Bush. The third, and most important reason,
is that O'Dell couldn't rig the voting machines even if he WAS both
crooked and crazy. He's not personally responsible for building and
administering the system; he's just the CEO of the company. Rigging
the voting machines would have required the complicity of almost
the entire engineering and QA teams at Diebold, plus the
third-party engineers who auditted the system. That's dozens or
hundreds of people, all of whom can now blackmail O'Dell for the
rest of his life, and any of whom could have cost Bush the election
simply by opening his or her mouth to the press.
So, no, I can't say that it's rational to buy into the O'Dell
conspiracy theory.
Dan says, "If accurate vote counts are so vitally important,
shouldn't libertarians favor non-anonymous ballots backed up by a
reliable government identification system? That way we could be
absolutely certain that our specific vote was being accurately
recorded, because there would be a publically-available file
detailing exactly how every person in America voted, and we could
all look at them to reassure ourselves that everything was
fair.
"'Ah', you might say, 'But that would violate our privacy
rights.'"
It would, if implemented in the straw-mannishly simple way Dan
supposes. On the other hand, it is possible to encrypt ballots so
that the identity of the voter is kept secret (unless the voter
himself comes forward with the proper "key"), while the content of
the vote is decodable and available for counting by anyone --
election officials, disgruntled third parties, or you
yourself.
ALL encrypted ballots could be posted on the public internet (or on
CD-ROMs, in large books, etc., and records of local vote could even
be published in special sections of local newspapers-of-record).
Each voter could verify the existence and correctness of his own
particular ballot, and could count all the ballots to verify the
result against the officially declared one. To allow for
statistical alarms against possible problems with the voting
process, the number of votes cast could easily be ascertained and
compared against the number of registered voters, by state, county,
or precinct; or the voting results for various races could be
compared against each other, down to the precinct level (to find,
for instance, precincts or counties where reasonably unknown
Republicans running for "downticket" offices did extremely well --
suggesting large Republican turnout and general party loyalty --
but Republican candidates for Senator or President did very poorly,
suggesting either voting irregularities or spectacularly repulsive
candidates!).
The knowledge and methods necessary to make this kind of thing
happen were well understood in 2000. Many people across the country
advocated for an "open source, open books" approach in the ensuing
years. So why did we arrive in 2004 without even a credible "open
source, open books" demonstration system in place? It gets back to
Dan's opener, I think: "If accurate vote counts are so vitally
important..." Obviously, they are not. What is vitally important,
apparently, is to maintain the turmoil of doubt about the election
process, so that those in power can put in place "remedies" that
consolidate their control, while those out of power can rally
crowds with allegations of vote fraud. The present situation does
not serve the public. Who does it serve, exactly?
greens and LB's??? Reminds me of the mighty know-nothing coalition of whigs and nativists in the 1840s.
Did you know that John Stuart Mill opposed the secret ballot? (Earlier he had favored it.) For his reasoning, see http://groups-beta.google.com/group/soc.history.what-if/msg/b7ee5a1751134040
*sigh*...even the TinFoil Hat crowd should be able to tell this does absolutely nothing positive for the Libertarian Party. People already see them as generalized wackos, is it really necessary to risk making people associate them with the Left-wing wackos on top of that?
"I resent our honesty and integrity being questioned."
I'm trying to imagine what my boss would do to me if I responded
this way to somebody who asked to see the Planning Board
minutes.
They denied your application...Trust me...What are you, questioning
my integrity?
On the other hand, it is possible to encrypt ballots so that
the identity of the voter is kept secret (unless the voter himself
comes forward with the proper "key"), while the content of the vote
is decodable and available for counting by anyone -- election
officials, disgruntled third parties, or you yourself.
Step 1: The corrupt election officials look at the votes.
Step 2: The corrupt election officials delete X number of ballots
representing votes they don't like.
Step 3: The corrupt election officials create X number of new
ballots representing votes that they do like, so that the vote
totals come out the same.
(this, by the way, is the same system they use for vote fraud today
-- not altering your actual votes, but discarding/adding
ballots)
Later on, you come forward with your private key. There is no
record for it to decrypt. *You* know you got defrauded -- but since
only you ever knew what your key was, you can't prove you didn't
(a) forget it or (b) lie about what it was in order to manufacture
a phony vote scandal.
So basically, your suggested system serves no purpose other than to
waste money. Brilliant plan.
I can understand why people might distrust the Diebold e-voting
machine. What I don't understand is why they keep ignoring the fact
that not a single county in Ohio (or in Florida for that matter...)
used those machines:
http://www.truthout.org/docs_04/111004V.shtml
"No Ohio County used Diebold Electronic Voting Machines.
"Ohio did not use modern electronic voting machines in this
election. Six counties use an older form of electronic voting,
which has a means of verifying the accuracy of the vote. In 69 Ohio
Counties, punch card ballots were used."
http://www.cuttingedge.org/news_updates/nz1799.htm
"Both Broward and Miami-Dade counties use machines made by Election
Systems & Software, while Palm Beach county uses machines made
by Sequoia Voting Systems. No Florida counties used touch-screen
machines made by Diebold Election Systems, the company whose
machines have received the most scrutiny over the last year."
I'm in favor of the recount, as I said. But not because of Diebold,
and not because I expect a huge number of votes to be
changed...
Dan-
Not sure what you mean by a waste of time. If you come forward with
a valid key that doesn't correspond to a ballot, then clearly your
ballot has been lost, because one of the goals of the election
system is to guarantee that voters don't get valid "receipt" keys
without casting ballots.
In the scenario you describe, if enough people came forward to
complain of valid keys that didn't correspond to recorded ballots,
there wuld be ample evidence of problems with the system. At very
least, the open source, open books system couldn't be any MORE
fraud prone than the current system, surely. What happens now,
should someone come in with serialized ballot stubs, and the
elections officers can't find the corresponding ballot? The
difference in the open source, open book scenario would be that the
voters would actually have a CLUE that they had been been
personally disenfranchised, and could offer up their "stubs" to
assist an investigation.
A more important purpose of encrypting the ballots would be to keep
them from being falsified in the way you describe (or at least to
make it more difficult). Data can be embedded within an encrypted
receipt, which allows investigators to determine whether the ballot
recorded against that receipt actually contains the selections that
the voter made. So, there would be easily found irregularities if,
for example:
1. The vote-containing portion of a legitimate ballot were replaced
by record containing votes that the fixers liked. (Software could
determine that the "receipt portion" didn't correspond to the "vote
portion." Or later, the voter would see that his vote was
mis-recorded, and the election officials could verify that his
legitimate "receipt" didn't match the recorded ballot.)
2. A legitimate ballot were merely discarded in total, and replaced
with a completely fictitious one. (Voter would not be able to find
his ballot. Investigators would be able to find at least N number
of unaccountable votes -- probably for a major opponent -- to
correspond to N complaints.)
3. A legitimate ballot were completely discarded. (Voter couldn't
find his ballot, the number of ballots cast would be less than the
number of keys issued.)
4. A completely fictitious ballot were stuffed into the box. (More
keys than registered voters would be issued, more votes than
registered voters would be recorded.)
No voting system will ever be perfect, but I don't think the kind
of scenario that I mentioned would actually be vulnerable to the
problems you described. One of the strengths of an open source,
open books method would be that millions of individual voters would
be empowered to ensure that their personal votes were recorded and
counted properly. As it is now, individual voters have little or no
way of knowing whether their own votes survived the process intact.
Challenges to the voting system must be made on the basis of
observed procedural irregularities, actual evidence of tampering,
the results of recounts and audits, etc. A group of voters who
could show personal disenfranchisement would provide more solid and
less expensive grounds for invalidating the results of an election.
Conversely, every voter could look at his or her own personal
results and approve the election: there would be little reason to
doubt the results of a tally that was endorsed by exactly as many
registered voters as cast recorded ballots, for example.
"Auditting makes sense when precise figures are relevant --
e.g., when determining how much money the government spent. Since
it doesn't matter whether Bush won Ohio by 110,000 votes, 120,000
votes, or 130,000 votes, auditting the Ohio vote seems silly.
There's no credible chance he lost the state."
After the 2000 election, when Democrats were calling for a recount,
conservatives like Dan dismissed their request as illegitimate,
because it was self-serving. Since a recount could have changed the
result, the talking point was that Democrats wanted to "count until
Gore wins."
Now that there is almost no chance of a recount changing the
result, Dan dismissed the legitimacy of calls for a recount because
a recount that won't change the result doesn't serve any
purpose.
Does anyone else think this stinks to high heaven?
I understand and appreciate many of your concerns about the
election in Ohio.
I have been personally involved with taking testimony from Ohio
voters who experienced the irregularities. I have no doubt that
there was some level of voter fraud and activity designed to
prevent lawful voters from voting.
The problem is that most of the incidents involve the prevention of
voting. A recount will only count people who were able to vote on
election day, thus confirming the numbers already available.
I would fully support an investigation conducted by independent
reseachers. I'm troubled that Ohio Libertarians have not been
including in any activities sponsored by the Greens. They do not
include us in any of their plans, and only seem interested in
contacting us when they need our names or signatures for lawsuits
and other legal matters. They don't let us know when they have
their press conferences, so our views have been kept out of the
media.
Even Michael Badnarik, our own Presidential candidate, did not
inform us of his decision to ask for a recount. I heard about it
from a press release. He only calls us when he needs a favor, or
needs us to sign something.
In Liberty,
Robert Butler
Executive Director
Libertarian Party of Ohio
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