Nick Gillespie | September 20, 2004
As Income Gap Widens, Uncertainty Spreads
More U.S. Families Struggle to Stay on Track
That's the ominous headline of a front page Washington Post story today. It includes a couple of truly hard-luck stories--of workers who have been displaced and who are now struggling to make ends meet. But the large point of the piece--as summarized by the headline--is bullshit.
Check out the chart accompanying the story carefully and you'll note that 22.3 percent of households were in the middle income quintile as of 1967--a figure that shrunk to 15 percent in 2003 (all corresponding money amounts are in constant 2003 dollars); that's supposed to be bad news.
Note also that in 1967 52.8 percent of households were in the bottom two income quintiles--a figure that had dropped to 40.9 percent in 2003; that should be very good news.
And note further that the percentage of households in the top two quintiles had risen from 24.9 percent in '67 to 44.1 percent in 2003. That is, arguably, better news still.
So significantly more households were in the top two quintiles in 2003 than in 1967--and significantly fewer were in the bottom two. That this gets spun as bad news is pretty amazing--especially in an economy with relatively low unemployment and historically high home ownership rates and near-record levels of high school seniors going on to college.
Some commenters at Arnold Kling's invaluable economics blog point out that you should properly account for household size, female participation in the workforce, etc. You can also make the case that it's really godawful that the top 5 percent of households (or whatever) are getting all the gains (not true, but you can argue it if you want). That's all fine and dandy.
But so is the simple fact that in the middle of a story about how tough things are for the (statistically) middle class, the main data suggest a very different development: There's fewer people in the middle class because they've bumped up to the next two levels.
A far more interesting--and relevant--story could have been around built Scott Clark, the 51-year-old former factory worker who opens and closes the story. Clark is now driving a mail delivery van at a fraction of his former salary, putting finanical strain on his family. It would be interesting to know what sorts of retraining programs--whether funded by the state or the private sector--actually help people in such situations. But that sort of story never seems to be worth writing at all, much less getting front page ink.
Update: The purpose/gender of the delivery van has been corrected from "male" to "mail."
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The really shocking news in all this to me is the fact that the five "quintiles," despite the name, are not equal in size and do not each contain one fifth of the population.
Now that I've looked over the chart, I actually think the data's being misinterpreted in a different way. The paradoxical result that fewer than one fifth of the households are in the bottom quintile is explained by the fact that the quintiles are divided up according to individuals not households. So fewer households are in the worst quintile as in the best, but the exact same number of people. In other words, the bottom quintile is composed of families with a high number of children-per-earner whereas the top quintile has relatively more children-per-earner. The country as a whole is richer, and most households are rich, but we have more poor kids than we used to.
Assuming Matthew is right, the whole story is based on pretty
much of a non sequitur. Since large families have to spread the
same earning power over more people, it should be no surprise that
large households disporportionately populate the bottom end of a
per capita earnings chart.
The country as a whole is richer, and most households are rich,
but we have more poor kids than we used to.
I disagree. What passes for a "poor" kid these days would have been
a solidly middle class kid 30 years ago (with some exceptions of
course).
Naw, they are not quintiles, they're just arbitrary lines drawn
in constant dollars. What the author (or whoever) thought were good
lines to draw around the median (above which is one-half the
individuals/households/whatever, and below which is
one-half).
The pie chart on the bottom shows quintiles.
Dead on, Dean. Those that were middle class in the 1970s would be considered poor today. Unfortunately, your reasoning gains no traction with Democrats and other statists. To them, poverty is ever relative. This, by the way, makes sense for them. If poverty ever disappeared, their reason for (political) existence would be gone.
Anecdotally and surely unscientifically I rely on my situation
and that of other boomers I know. We climbed the ladder for 30
years with between 2 amd 4 employers. We are educated, computer
literate, good managers and until the bust of 2000, earned close to
six figures. We are now on our own doing the same work we used to
do for less than half the money and no benefits. We long ago gave
up getting a "regular" job when countless interviews revealed
someone about our children's age across the desk looking for
someone they could "relate" to. But maybe we could do some
consultant work for them since they're trying to hold down their
staffing costs.
We value the freedom we now have but have no hope of ever retiring
as our parents did and really hope we don't get sick.
k that's ridiculously complex and those quintiles are no
quintiles...
but more people are richer households (good news for everyone but
Rawlsians like MY) while the larger number of people in poorer
households can likely be attributed to the increase in household
formation (people move out sooner and are single longer, so more
time spent in caerr founding households and less time in larger,
older, more prosperous households)
look at any university, and you'll see lots of new "households"
(depending on definitions) on very little income. but as MY will
vouch for, substantial percentages of young people living alone on
low incomes have rather large resources (and not just at his alma
mater). You also see this in cities, where the kids move out as
soon as they're working, rather than staying at home, but still
having access to some serious support.
it is quite easy to move from a top quintiles (or percentile)
housheold to the bottom quintile and then to the middle in the span
of 5 years... depending on location its even rather easy to hit the
top quintile within 6 years (once you get your first bonus or raise
out of college)
but people doing beter is always evil to MY...
Won't the spread between rich and poor grow as a consequence of the nation getting richer? I mean, zero income will always be zero, but the top should keep getting higher and higher.
I am so, so glad that Matthew started the comments as he did; I was wondering the same thing and feeling as if I just didn't get it, especially given that Nick had spent so much time explaining the chart.
Dead on, Dean. Those that were middle class in the 1970s
would be considered poor today. Unfortunately, your reasoning gains
no traction with Democrats and other statists. To them, poverty is
ever relative. This, by the way, makes sense for them. If poverty
ever disappeared, their reason for (political) existence would be
gone.
No, not dead on. First, although I quite agree that it
shouldn't matter that some people are getting richer than
others, even if everyone is getting richer, it should be plainly
obvious to most people who pay attention that this is generally
socially corrosive, and you won't like the effects down the line,
even if you're making out like a bandit now. And no, I'm not
advocating some government programme to redistribute your money for
the general welfare, but it would be nice if the anti-egalitarians
could admit that massive disparities in wealth tend to have
politically destabilizing effects over time and start thinking
about non-coercive ways of reconciling that situation. Or else, in
the end, you are going to be expropriated by the
state.
Second, I'm a long way from believing that everyone is
actually getting richer. Manifestly this is not true for my part of
the country, the rust belt generaically, and you'll pardon me but I
don't give a fuck about the rest of you all. "Sure, just move
somewhere else" is of course the libertarian answer but that
overlooks some social realities too. For the most part, I would say
the ongoing immiseration of my region is a result of government
idiocy on various levels, but that's not the whole story either.
What's my point? I don't know except I think everyone here's
talking a lot of bullshit, so I might as well give you mine,
too.
Anyway, statistics lie, trust the eye.
Look, I was born in Flint Michigan. And another thing...
While the income of people making no money has remained steady, the
income of CEOs has gone up. Where's the fairness in that?
Yeah right, Evan. I grew up dirt poor in a welfare community--disabled mother, absent alcoholic father, and a 99% child poverty rate at my former elementary school. I studied hard and worked hard, and I still study hard and work hard. Yeah, I had to sacrifice some TV-viewing and partying, but now I work for myself and win the contracts that my former employer loses. Why? Because I learned things without being taught and I made the extra effort while my fellow employees were doing everything in their power to avoid work. I have yet to meet a single person that worked and studied hard, yet remained poor. I have never met a poor, non-student adult that was not lazy, at least mentally. Maybe people in the rust belt should get off their couch-potato-can't-miss-the-football-game-won't-ever-read-a-book asses and do something with their lives. I'm so sick of whiny lazy asses.
Oh, I forgot to mention disabled people. Some of them try very hard, yet can't succeed due to their unfortunate circumstances. I feel for these folks and want to help them. On the other hand, I've known people with crippling depression and folks bound to wheelchairs who manage to succeed. How can anybody look at a person in a wheelchair that earns six figures and not realize that success and failure is almost entirely up to the individual. Stop crying in your beer. Actually, stop drinking beer, you lazy fat slobs.
Evan's earlier statement that "statistics lie, trust the eye"
struck a chord with me because I remember the 1960's very
well.
When I compare the 1960's to today, there's no contest. We're
definitely better off today than most of our parents and the
biggest challenge for most of our poor people today is obesity, not
starvation.
The biggest difference between the 1960's and today is education
and job security. In the "good old days" you could graduate from
high school, land a union-protected job and work at the same job
until you retire. Today, new technology requires a more educated
work force and fewer jobs have a built-in retirement. It is not
uncommon for middle-aged workers to return to school for more
education and training. Those not willing to adapt end up on the
losing end and those are the people who reporters always
interview.
For every person out there who has taken a pay cut in the past ten
years, there are 2-3 more who changed careers and are making more
than they ever dreamed. At some point, the blacksmiths and livery
stables went away and were replaced with gas stations and roadside
diners. Which would you prefer?
even if everyone is getting richer, it should be plainly
obvious to most people who pay attention that this is generally
socially corrosive
How is it "generally socially corrosive"? People care about how
they are doing on an absolute scale, and relative to their peers.
They do not care that Bill Gates has a snazillion dollars more than
they do.
and you won't like the effects down the line, even if you're
making out like a bandit now.
Don't be coy; what are these supposed "effects down the
line"?
"Sure, just move somewhere else" is of course the libertarian
answer
No, it's the American answer. Its the reason why the overwhelming
majority of Americans are living here, and not in Europe, Asia, or
Africa. If the area you are in offers no opportunities, but other
places do, you either (a) stay poor and whine about it or (b)
move.
You're welcome, Evan. I seem to hate people quite a bit today.
Maybe tomorrow I'll give a fuck... maybe not...
If people, i.e., the government, would leave me alone, I wouldn't
hate them at all.
In the "good old days" you could graduate from high school,
land a union-protected job and work at the same job until you
retire.
If you were a relative or friend of a union member, and/or were
willing to pay bribes to union officials. Normal, unconnected
people had about as much chance of "graduating from high school and
landing a union-protected job" as they had of getting into the 1970
Texas National Guard.
OK, the question is: do you believe that the numbers are in
truly constant dollars?
The numbers at the bottom show that the middle (1/2 median to
2*median) really have shrunk since '69, with the two ends
increasing. These numbers are not scaled into 2003 dollars, so they
show "scale-free" numbers, and are perhaps more reliable than the
absolute scale numbers.
This genuinely demonstrates the liberal hypothesis that the
extremes are growing at the expense of the middle -- the "Two
Americas" hypothesis.
Now, if inflation hasn't been understated for the past 40 years,
the data also show that the median absolute income has improved, by
about $10,000 dollars. This, if true, is a good thing. There's also
strong evidence that the inflation rate has been understated. This
would make the observed gains less, compared to the cost.
I have yet to meet a single person that worked and studied
hard, yet remained poor.
"Therefore, they do not exist." See if we can spot the logical
flaw. Anyone?
Evan's right, lots of people are talking trash on this subject.
So, here's mine
It is fairly apparent on a superficial level that almost everyone
is better off today than they were thirty (or fifty) years
ago.
Consumer goods are cheaper, in real terms and often in actual
dollars as well. That means a broader range of people can afford
any given item.
Case in point: My first really cool stereo was a Kenwood 4 channel
(dating myself again) that cost a grand and the thousand bucks (in
1977 dollars) didn't get me speakers, a reel to reel, or a
turntable.
Last time I bought a receiver was a couple of years ago and it was
a slick surround sound set up that came with speakers and a 5 spot
DVD player all for around $500.00. And it uncorks wine bottles, has
a martini function, and helps chicks wiggle out of their
underwear.
Hey, Phil, I was just playing Evan's game of anecdote over statistical evidence. By the way, have you ever met someone who worked hard, studied hard, was not disabled, and was poor? Please give details.
Quintiles are crap. They are meant to confuse rather to
enlighten, which is exactly why income is stated that way.
Oh, look at those people on the south end of the scale getting it
good and hard from those bastards at the other end. Except the
bastards at the other end is the rest of us. You know us, too. We
work hard, raise our kids right, pay the mortgage, drive a late
model car, but don't consider ourselves anything but solidly in the
middle.
If we eliminated taxes (including Social Security and Medicare) on the first $50,000 earned by a family of four, I'm sure poor folks would appreciate it.
"Look, I was born in Flint Michigan. And another thing..."
Michael,
Weren't you born in Davison?
It's bad enough for people in Davison, don't try and disgrace the
good people of Flint, too.
My first reply to Bill was tetchy and rather small, but I was in
a hurry to get back to the Minnesota-Philly game after half-time,
you see, and pop a suds, so you can imagine my state of mine.
I think this sub-Horatio Alger line you're pushing is really rather
silly. That ALL people who try hard succeed and that ALL people who
fail are lazy is obviously absurd on the face of it, but such
assertions are dangerous, too. Do you really think it does
classical liberalism any good to have its adherents going about
conversing like some ridiculous top-hatted figure from communist
agitprop? You sound like some straw-man constructed by an
Indiemedia kid.
I don't know anything about what you do or where you're from or how
you got there, so I would not presume to get into an argument along
any of those lines, and I have no reason to suspect you haven't
completely earned whatever it is you've achieved. But that
certainly doesn't give you any standing to pour a bucket of shit
all over people whose situations you clearly don't entirely
understand.
BTW, watching Kerry on Letterman now. It's a sad commentary but
Dave's asking him straighter questions than anybody I've see so
far. "What exactly is your plan for bringing America and the world
together. Sounds kind of implausible, doesn't it?" Pretty sad
commentary on the moronic media coverage of this election, I'd
say.
"Anecdotally and surely unscientifically I rely on my situation
and that of other boomers I know. We climbed the ladder for 30
years with between 2 amd 4 employers. We are educated, computer
literate, good managers and until the bust of 2000, earned close to
six figures."
Good managers, huh?
Anecdotally: I am 25. I am a software developer for an established
company; my manager manages about 60 people. I've never talked to
him. The company is doing very well.
I think your skillset is out of date. There's less to manage now.
The company I work for keeps moving management functions into
software. Dilbert killed your job.
I do think there is a stark divide between people who go to college
vs. people who don't. If you don't have a degree you're pretty much
locked into shit jobs unless you manage to get unionized
manufacturing work, which is in steady decline in this country.
Even those people seem to have doublewides and cable, though, so
how awful can it be?
A few points. First, as Matthew pointed out, these are not
"quintiles," at least not in the sense that anyone who knows what
quintiles are uses the term. Second, they do appear to be inflation
adjusted dollars. Third, it is quite clear that the Washington Post
has tried to draw conclusions from these data that cannot be drawn
from it for reasons previously presented: the superficial analysis
doesn't support them, and the more detailed analysis regarding
changing demographics illustrates how no conclusion whatever can be
drawn on this question.
I'd add that Evan's "statistics lie, trust the eye" remark concerns
me. It reminds me of another quote - "There are three kinds of
lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." In truth there are three
types of liars: liars, damned liars, and gawdamned liars who wave a
truth in your face and tell you a lie with it. Properly understood,
statistics give us perspective that our own eyes are incapable of.
However, they need to be used carefully, unlike the Post's
treatment of them here.
I don't know anything about what you do or where you're from
or how you got there, so I would not presume to get into an
argument along any of those lines, and I have no reason to suspect
you haven't completely earned whatever it is you've achieved. But
that certainly doesn't give you any standing to pour a bucket of
shit all over people whose situations you clearly don't entirely
understand.
Evan,
I don't recall saying ALL, but if I implied that, well, my bad. I
should have said most, but maybe I'm too optimistic about the
abilities of most human beings.
I'm still waiting for an example of someone who worked hard,
studied hard, and was not disabled (or seriously disadvantaged in
some other way) who failed. I'm sure there are some, but I bet that
they're a very small percentage of Americans. As I mentioned
before, I grew up in a welfare community, meaning that more than
half of the families received government aid. Maybe society or
their own families screwed them up, but the people of this town
were lazy. They spent most of their time drinking, doing drugs, and
screwing. They said things like, "Work ain't for everybody." They
were awful parents, yet they had far more time for parenting than
the good parents of that town. I have a cousin in prison who's
girlfriend (who demanded that he quit his job and stay at home with
her) and two kids are on welfare, an uncle who blames the world for
his problems and refuses to take any work that is "beneath him,"
and numerous other relatives that a losers. And these are just my
family members. I have seen the causes of poverty first hand. They
are laziness, lack of personal responsibility, and government
hand-outs. I'm fully ready to admit that poverty "back in the day"
was a more complex issue, and that poverty around the world is as
well, but in America these days, there are so many freaking
opportunities to improve oneself. I just don't think that 95+% of
Americans have anyone to blame but themselves for their
failures.
Clark is now driving a male delivery van Is this Dan Savage's new business venture?
If we eliminated taxes (including Social Security and
Medicare) on the first $50,000 earned by a family of four, I'm sure
poor folks would appreciate it.
Another BS social engineering tax structure to reward politically
approved behavior, ie being straight, married and producing a
couple of apelets. I'm surprised to see such a suggestion on a
Reason board. How about something a little more fair?
even if everyone is getting richer, it should be plainly
obvious to most people who pay attention that this is generally
socially corrosive
Under a progressive tax system you need the rich (in terms of
income) to get filthy stinking rich, if you want those precious tax
dollars (the ones taxed at the highest rates) to pay for those
dandy social programs.
By the way, have you ever met someone who worked hard,
studied hard, was not disabled, and was poor?
I'm sure I don't know, since questioning poor people to see what
they did in life is not among my hobbies. I, on the other hand, did
not make a positive claim about what causes poverty, and you
did.
We value the freedom we now have but have no hope of ever
retiring as our parents did and really hope we don't get
sick.
Well, anyone who has had the kind of jobs you describe who doesn't
have a nice nest egg set aside by the time they are pushing 50 can
point to only one reason - their own crappy money management.
I know lots of boomers who have had six-figure incomes (hell, I
know boomer couples where each has a six-figure income) and who
have a negligible to negative net worth. Because they either spend
it as fast as it comes in, or they made stupid investment decisions
during the internet boom and lost all their paper assets in the
bust.
The one guy I know who will retire in his mid-to-late 40s has never
had a job that paid more than around $80K, would be my guess, but
he is very disciplined with money. The bastard. ;-)
I'm not much with hanging onto money myself, but at least I don't
whine about it.
Pretty laughable article.
The only way to make a somewhat accurate comparison is to take the
real 20% quintiles of 1967, adjust the dollar figure breaks to 2003
dollars, and then see what the current percentages are at the new
breaks.
Quote:
"I'd add that Evan's "statistics lie, trust the eye" remark
concerns me.
I wouldn't want to live in a country ruled on the basis of
anecdotes any more than I would want to live in one ruled entirely
by statistics.
Article from Factcheck.org according to which the middle class
has shrunk over the last few years, with most of the change being
in a downwards direction. Admittedly too short a slice of time to
indicate any long-term trends.
http://www.factcheck.org/article.aspx?docID=249
"doesn't give you any standing to pour a bucket of shit all over
people whose situations you clearly don't entirely
understand."
The world is what it is, harsh and unfair. It's nice to hear you
complain about your economicaly disadvantaged county while 3+
million African children shit themselves to death every year from
unclean water. Even the lazy, stupid, and unfortunate have it good
in the US.
"massive disparities in wealth tend to have politically
destabilizing effects over time"
They are going to have to try real hard to get mine.
"Thank you ... for illustrating why I hate people."
Ditto, add yourself to that pile.
The newspaper choice in DC is between the Pravda of the Potomac or the Moonie Rag.. I choose the former, because it can imitate objectivity from time to time. But yesterday's headline screamer almost prohibited me from wasting my 35 cents. I swear, this old liberal, anti-capitalist, class-warfare crap is very tiresome.
Brian and RC, I'm happy to hear that you are in complete control of your destinies. You will never get sick, divorced, have a handicapped child, have an accident, get fired, have your savings embezzled, go bankrupt or get old. I'm glad for you.
it would be nice if the anti-egalitarians could admit that
massive disparities in wealth tend to have politically
destabilizing effects over time
Evan McElravy,
You assert this as if it's a well known fact, but it doesn't seem
at all self-evident to me. Can you back it up? Or was this part of
the "bullshit" covered in your disclaimer at the end of your
subsequent paragraph? :-)
I think my point was that you shouldn't assume that crappy conditions for you and your small group of homogeneous friends necessarily translate to a wider trend, not that I am invincible and ageless. I wish that was my point, because that would be awesome.
I worked hard (continue to work hard), studied hard (Phi Beta Kappa, and continue to study) and I'm poor ($32,000/year salary).
"I have seen the causes of poverty first hand."
No, Bill, you have seen *some* of the causes of poverty first hand.
You are generalizing too broadly from your own experience, and you
are assuming that the most visible (to you) poor people are
representative of all poor people.
In fact, most poor people are just like everyone else, except they
have less money. That includes sharing the values of hard work
(poor people work more hours than rich people, on average), and of
not wanting to be seen to be poor, and dependant on others. They go
to great lengths to avoid having people recognize that they're
poor. Thus, your "lyin' eyes" don't include them in your sample of
"what poor people are like," and you end up with a skewed vision of
what poor people are like.
parse-
Cry me a fucking river! The poor in this country have a better
standard of living than 80% (this according to Ben Stein, who knows
where he got it) of the entire world and you are hardly poor. You
work less and earn more than most, suck it up. Incidentally, you
earn $12,000/yr more than I do and I think I have a reasonably
comfortable life. Your expectations are poor, not your bank
account.
Gadfly opines: Brian and RC, I'm happy to hear that you are
in complete control of your destinies. You will never get sick,
divorced, have a handicapped child, have an accident, get fired,
have your savings embezzled, go bankrupt or get old.
Well, lets see. I've been divorced, and therefore was technically
insolvent for awhile (but never file for bankruptcy). I've been in
accidents. I was fired just under a year ago (worked 8 hours a day
to get a new job, now happy as a clam in my new position, thank
you). I hope to get old. I freely admit that I am a poor money
manager.
What I won't do is whine about any of it. I'm not in control of my
destiny, but I am in control of myself.
Up through the 1970s, a person working full-time at minimum wage
could afford to rent a decent apartment with about one week's pay;
now that same apartment would cost about three and a half week's
pay for a month's rent. I'd say that is significant. What good is
it to be able to buy a cheap stereo if you can't afford a home to
store it in?
As for those who shrug and say, "Well, those people shouldn't be
working minimum wage jobs," perhaps you're right. But society needs
people who will scrub toilets, dig ditches, sell hamburgers and
other such unskilled jobs; what is wrong with letting people who do
the crummy jobs make a decent living at it? Do you think we'd be
better off in a world where only the creme de la creme have a
chance at a decent life?
My anecdotal comments:
I grew up "poor". Never knew it. Single mother. She was on food
stamps for a while. Worked her ass off and raised 3 boys by
herself. I never made it to college but served in the USAF. Got
fired from that due to boredom and trace amounts of plant
by-product detected in my precious bodily fluids. ;)
Now I am VP of a successful software development company making
90K+ per year. I've been through poor, I like making money better.
I worked my ass off and never gave up. Due to recent divorce
proceedings, I feel about as poor as I have ever been but that is a
passing phase. I know that I will catch up and in the end I will
live comfortably.
For a while, I lived in South Dakota. Depressed economy, no money
to go around. It sucked. I had a job as an electronics teacher at a
local high school but just didn't make any money. I was poor. I
knew it was time to change things and I did. I live in Denver now.
I could have wallowed in my misery and stayed doing what I did but
sometimes to change things you have to change things. People wash
up naked on our shores, unable to even speak the language and
become successful.
What's your excuse?
seeker,
"I grew up "poor". Never knew it. Single mother. She was on food
stamps for a while. Worked her ass off and raised 3 boys by
herself."
I'll be she knew it.
seeker,
"I grew up "poor". Never knew it. Single mother. She was on food
stamps for a while. Worked her ass off and raised 3 boys by
herself."
I'll be she knew it. Thank God for the food stamps and free public
schools, eh?
Most statistically poor people are young. As a direct
consequence of this, most poor people become un-poor later in their
lives.
Politcal instability is not something that is going to happen as a
result of income disparities, unless the people on the bottom are
really suffering. There was a study that concluded that income was
not a factor in happiness once it grew beyond about $50k a year.
People in househlods which make $50k are just as happy as people in
households making $10M. I don't recall if it was households or
individuals, but it seems reasonable to conclude that we will
eventually get to a point where income will not be a drag on the
happiness of over half the country. Hardly the recipe for social
upheaval or revolution.
"You will never get sick, divorced, have a handicapped child, have
an accident, get fired, have your savings embezzled, go bankrupt or
get old."
Criminy, you've had a tough life.
Errr... Always edit out comments like "I don't recall if it was housholds or individuals" after you look up said fact. It was households.
Gadfly: I'll reframe one of your complaints. It is not that you
"can't afford to get sick", rather you can't afford the
fantastically improved medicine available today. The treatments and
preventions available to your parents could likely be bought with
the change sucked out of your couch or the deposits on Evan's beer
bottles.
Overall, why are we concerned with income? The War on Poverty is
already won. Our poor suffer from obesity, of all things. Safe
water is available to essentially everyone. Few are stuffed family
upon family into two-room shacks. Income equality is a separate
issue from general welfare, and the welfare seems to be provided
for. Where in the Constitution are we obligated to limit personal
wealth?
joe,
You are correct. She knew it. But she never let us know it. She set
the example of working hard and making ends meet.
I do not think that she was on food stamps for long. It was
immediately after my scumbag dad left her for another woman...in
Germany. Never sent child support. I saw him a handful of times
growing up. My mom moved back home and lived in the house next to
her parents. Relied heavily upon them. Do I think government
handouts are a good idea? Not for long term. Could my mom have made
it without them available? Maybe. We might have been skinnier that
winter but we would have made it with all of the relatives around
us.
Incidently, she built her own home in Naples, FL on 6.5 acres on
the edge of town now. Has worked herself to a comfortable level and
lives a good life. Zero college. No government handouts except that
one winter in the late 60's.
Free public schools? We all pay taxes for those schools. Stop
taking my tax money and I'll send my kids to charter school any
day.
The system is as it is. That doesn't mean there are no benefits to
it. It also doesn't mean that it isn't corrupt and inefficient and
wrong to steal money from people (taxes). You seem to be saying
that welfare and public schools are a good thing. My defense is
that it is what exists now. I personally have never taken a
government hand-out though there were times it would have helped. I
believe changes could be made to steal less money from me and allow
me to make better choices. If I were allowed to keep the $15,000 -
$20,000 per year I hand over to the federal government, there is a
lot I could do with it.
My personal beliefs are that anything government is or will be
grossly inefficient.
"Thank God for food stamps and free public schools?" What school
choices were there in the 60's? Yes, thank God the government has a
monopoly... Food stamps? Desperate times require desperate
measures...
"Well, since the difference between $34,000 and $22,000 is so
insignificant..."
Good thing planners don't have to use any math.
Jennifer,
40 hours/week * $5.75/hr = $230/wk, which would cover a month's
rent in a bare-bones, but still decent apartment in many cities.
Are you saying that there are no decent apartments below $805 a
month? If so, I live in a shithole.
Here in Denver, efficiencies are going for about $400, so I'd
say the reality is somewhere in between Jennifer's and crimethink's
analyses.
But that's only part of the story anyway. What if there's a
difference between how many people are making minimum wage? And
then from the raw figures you'd have to factor in how many more
current minimum wage earners are immigrants just getting started in
this country. (Uh-oh, I hope I haven't inadvertently conjured up
Lonewacko...)
Perhaps we need to stop for a moment and compare our "poor"
people here in America to the poor in other countries. There is a
reason why people will risk life and limb to come here and be our
poor people.
I met a young man from Argentina a few years ago and I found his
perspective to be very interesting. He came from a wealthy,
prominent family in Argentina. He learned at an early age that
everything revolved around who you are and who you know. He came
here for a college education and was astounded to learn that the
son of a plumber and the son of a lawyer would share an apartment
and be close friends. He thought that it would be important and
meaninful if he told people here in America that he came from a
prominent family and that they had money, but nobody seemed to
care.
The poor in America are not consigned to be forever poor. I think
that is a fact that tends to get ignored when they look at the
statitics.
"Free public schools? We all pay taxes for those schools. Stop
taking my tax money and I'll send my kids to charter school any
day."
So your mom was paying a lot of taxes when you were in school?
It's about time someone mentioned immigration; the two things that struck me about the article were the complete failure to mention immigration or any other mobility between quintiles, and the chart which showed that the number of households with double the median salary has grown much faster than the number with less than half the median.
Seeker-
For being poor, of course. But based upon your later post, it
sounds like she had a good one.
"If people, i.e., the government, would leave me alone, I
wouldn't hate them at all."
I like this one better: To quote the movie Barfly "I don't
necessarily hate people, but I feel a lot better when they're not
around".
joe-
"So your mom was paying a lot of taxes when you were in
school?"
No, her prospective employers were, her neighbors that perhaps
otherwise could have been more forthcomming with charity, so on and
so on. Perhaps I could give you a few bucks to educate your kids,
or you can have the government steal it from my paycheck and waste
two out of three dollars. Joe, if you are so interested in others
well being why are you pushing to further fatten the American poor?
There are others much worse off, how much charity are you sending
them? As I said in an earlier post, 3+ million African children
shit themselves to death every year from unclean drinking water. I
think you concern is badly misplaced.
"since the difference between $34,000 and $22,000 is so
insignificant"
What I could do with an extra grand a month! If its insignificant I
can send you my mailing address.
Jennifer,
Thank you, yes. She did have a good one. But she didn't stay there
and "cry in her beer". She worked hard and I have a great deal of
love and respect for her.
-----
joe,
What pigwiggle said. You seem to be arguing from the other side of
the circle. You seem to be saying that because of the burden our
government has placed upon us, we need them. If it wasn't for the
ropes the government has placed around our necks, we could never
bear the burden that it requires of us. I'm grasping for the right
analogy...
fyodor,
In my hometown of Rochester, NY, there are (what I would consider)
decent places for $250 a month; I'm sure the difference is due to
WNY's shrinking economy. But in any case, I highly doubt that
minimum wage has has been reduced by a factor of 3.5 since the 70s,
even when adjusted for inflation; perhaps rents have gone up, but
that has more to do with the reign of "smart growth" than anything
else.
Given the paucity of smart growth policies, it's a stretch to
claim that they're contributing to housing prices.
seeker,
The government places little or no tax burden on the very poor.
Though I agree, this burden should be removed from those who suffer
under it.
Of course, when I suggesting cutting poor people's taxes on another
thread, it was roundly derided as "redistributionist."
Point of fact, crimethink, many of the government policies that
HAVE actually driven up housing prices by artificially lowering the
supply of housing, particularly inexpensive housing, are
strenuously opposed by smart growth proponents. Forbidding rental
housing, high minimum lot sizes, low density, large setbacks,
commercial districts with no housing allowed...
And by segregating housing from jobs, these "dumb growth" policies
served to increase the number of low income people, by reducing the
access poor communities have to work, and by increasing the
cost/difficulty of getting to the jobs.
joe,
Well, at least you stopped cutting down my mother ;) them's
fightin' words, ya know.
I've always been a flat tax kind of guy. If Franklin was right,
death and taxes and all that, then make it a fair cut across the
board. Don't punish me for making more money. The problem with any
kind of exceptions is the whole encroachment thing. Let's not tax
any income less than $1000 per year...then it is $2k...then it is
$10k...then it is $20k.
Remember where the income tax came from. It was like .5% on $100k
per year or more (or something like that). Strictly temporary. Just
to pay off the war effort, you know. Now there is a huge bloated
creature called the IRS that feeds on the hard-working citizens of
these United States and redistributes a fraction of what it
collects. I say shoot it and dump it into the ocean...
Can I see a show of hands of anyone who would miss the
IRSzilla?
Tree of Liberty, Blood of Patriots. I think the Jefferson quote in
simpler terms really means a completely overhauling of government
agencies. Start over, so to speak...by force if necessary. If we
are going to have taxes, maybe there should be an agency to manage
those taxes. Should be a state agency...or why not local? But every
now and then, fire everyone and start over. Clean house. Reset the
bloated corruption meter back to zero and watch it rise
again.
Were there schools before World War II? How did they function if
there weren't any income taxes?
crimethink,
Apologies, I was going to mention, but forgot to, that I have no
idea whether Jennifer's depiction of rent compared to minimum wage
in the 70's is accurate.
But I agree that if housing has really gone up more than indigenous
poor people's incomes, it's likely more a reflection of restrictive
zoning (whatever else it's called; please! don't get joe started!!)
than a comment on the state of the economy.
"If Franklin was right, death and taxes and all that, then make
it a fair cut across the board. Don't punish me for making more
money."
So you're saying that a rich family and a poor family should pay
exactly the same tax bill, in dollars, regardless of income? Of
course you're not saying that, you want them to pay the same
percentage. But now we're arguing about the degree of
progressivity, not whether there should be any.
"Fair cut across the board?" Is it fair to have a tax system that
makes it impossible for one family to buy a car when the old one
dies, but does not preclude another family from doing the same? How
are we to measure this fairness? Same dollar value and same % of
income seem to ignore the real world conditions of taxpayers.
fyodor,
Another cause of the housing crisis is that the geographic area
within which a the commuters of a metro region can commute to the
jobs in that region has been fixed since the 1950s. Cars don't go
any faster, so we're basically talking about a perimeter around
central cities that is the same now as it was in 1958. Yet in 1958,
even with restrictive zoning, there were enough potential house
lots that land prices could be quite low. Now, many metro areas are
largely built out, even in the suburbs. Any farther out, and the
homes are really only available to people who don't have to commute
to jobs, or the limited number of people who can get by on the
small number of jobs available in exurbs. Combined with restrictive
zoning, this limits the housing supply.
joe,
What does buying a car have to do with paying taxes? Generally,
lower income families buy cheaper cars anyway. In fact, I just got
a great deal on a 2000 Lumina. Paid $4000 for it. Runs great. It's
my only car. Sold my '87 Nova. I'm livin' high on the hog now! Or
are you saying that lower income people should have the same chance
to buy a $40,000 SUV as their wealthy neighbors at the top of the
hill? That would certainly be fair.
Not quite sure where you were going with the same tax dollars
across the board. Of course I did not say that. I suggested a flat
tax. Let's just call it 10% across the board. Absolutely it is fair
for the lower income families to pay their 10% just as it is for
the highest income families to pay their 10%. It is the ultimate in
fairness. Anything else is "redistributionist".
What seems fair to me would be each individual paying for those parts of the public infrastructure they use/consume. This would work best when most of the things we consider part of the public infrastructure; fire protection, road construction maintenance, education, charity, is privately owned and administered.
Joe,
You're playing word games. A flat tax percentage creates a tax
that's strictly proportional to the income, not a "progressive"
tax.
I'm not saying that I especially favor a flat tax, but it would be
better than the current mishmash of complexity and loopholes and
the AMT.
I favor a flat tax over the current system mostly for reasons of
simplicity.
However, what I really want (aside from abolition
of all taxes and privatization of all services, yadda yadda yadda)
is the elimination of tax credits, deductions (other than business
expenses, obviously, since the tax is on profits), loopholes, and
other market distortions that favor one activity over
another.
Although I'd obviously like to live in the Property Republic (Not a
Democracy) of Libertopia, really I'd be pretty happy if the gov't
just did the following:
1) Flatten the income tax and abolish all of the loopholes, setting
the tax rate to be revenue-neutral.
2) Abolish all tarriffs, import quotas, etc.
3) Legalize drugs, including non-prescription use of narcotics,
stimulants, etc.
4) Eliminate farm subsidies
5) Implement means testing for social security and medicare (not
complete abolition, but it would reduce the number of recipients)
WITHOUT INCREASING BENEFITS
6) Eliminate all restrictions on handgun ownership for non-felons,
including concealed carry
7) Eliminate any zoning and other regulations that impede
construction of affordable housing
I realize that the above measures are far from ideal, but they
would all be solid steps that would improve the quality of life
while making the gov't a lot smaller. If a political party
advocated just these measures I'd be pretty happy. The purists
could bitch, of course, but I'd take that platform over anything
the GOP leadership is proposing right now.
"What does buying a car have to do with paying taxes?" If
taxation takes too much of a bite out of your income, you might not
be able to buy the car. I need to explain this on Reason Magazine's
blog page? Sheesh.
Michael, doesn't "strictly proportionate to income" mean that
richer people are paying more taxes than poorer people? Aren't you
recommending that we "punish" people who earn 10X as much as the
median income by "stealing" 10X as much of their money? Why, oh
why, should Bill Gates be punished for his success by having the
government extort more money from him than from a miserable failure
like me? (I am aware of the standard usages, btw. Do you have
anything to add about the substance of my ideas?)
The obvious answer is, as with bankrobbers, "because that's where
the money is." You appear to buy this logic. So if it's ok to take
$300 million from Bill Gates every year, and $300 from a school
lunch lady, why is it prima facie wrong to take $301 million from
bill, so 3000 lunch ladies can feed their kids better? Why is
making the % of dollars equal the key to fairness, and not, say,
the absolute dollar value, or some figure arrived at via a social
utility formula?
I too only prefer the flat tax as far better than the current
system. I do have difficulty envisioning a system where everything
is use based though. I'm not against it, it is just so far out of
where we are right now it is difficult to imagine.
How much would my tolls cost me on my way to work? $100 each way?
Do I put a dollar in each traffic light? I suppose that could be
handled by the company that owns the road. I just don't know. Right
now, the pendulum is swinging in an oppressive direction. I would
like to see it swing back the other way a little...ok, a lot.
I think thoreau enumerated it pretty well. None of his items are
outside of the realm of reason yet would move us in the right
direction.
Jennifer's and joe's comments made me wonder... I don't think I've seen an apartment building constructed in the last 20 years. I've seen loads of multi-family housing go up, but not one rental property. I'm sure many of the condos that are built are being rented out, but I'd bet most of this is on an informal basis. And I'd bet the reason for that is the owners find all the regulations on who you MUST rent to a big deterrent. In short, the problem Jennifer posits is still a suply and demand issue and government regulations (either not allowing zoning of apartments OR not allowing landlords to refuse certain tenants) are a huge part of reducing supply.
"So if it's ok to take $300 million from Bill Gates every year,
and $300 from a school lunch lady, why is it prima facie wrong to
take $301 million from bill, so 3000 lunch ladies can feed their
kids better? Why is making the % of dollars equal the key to
fairness, and not, say, the absolute dollar value, or some figure
arrived at via a social utility formula?"
joe gets points here for pointing out a flawed argument you hear
quite a bit. A flat tax is progressive. Other forms of taxation are
usually more progressive. The don't steal my money argument is
subject to joe's analysis. The correct phrasing is don't steal more
of my money than you have to to support a small government.
The virtue of the flat tax is that it is not open ended. From a
libertarian perspective, the tax code is used as a reward system
whereby people who want more stuff for free can vote themselves
goodies at no cost. Differential taxation makes this possible. If
every time I wanted more stuff, I had to raise taxes on myself, I
might reconsider the value of legislating myself wealth. The
consensus tax rate when everyone has to pay the same percent will
settle on a lower amount, it is believed.
Additionally, the flat tax should in theory prevent the government
from inappropriately (from the libertarian perspective) encouraging
certain behaviors through the tax code.
thoreau,
1) Flatten the income tax and abolish all of the loopholes, setting
the tax rate to be revenue-neutral.
5) Implement means testing for social security and medicare (not
complete abolition, but it would reduce the number of recipients)
WITHOUT INCREASING BENEFITS
This is where I find a problem with so much "fairness" talk. From
the point of view of someone like joe, the "progressive" tax is a
sort of means testing - you can afford to pay at a higher rate so
your tax rate should be proportionately higher.
If you want to play the progressive angle on output (which is what
means testing for benefits is), then you're opening the door for
the progressive angle on the input (taxation) side. And vice versa.
And I don't think that's a solid step at all, that's just more of
the same.
Progressivism creates the loopholes and confusion. As a selfish
individual I'm in favor of every loophole that helps me, and I can
sleep easy knowing that no loopholes are ever created to purposely
hurt anyone. It just shakes out that way over time.
Russ D-
1) I support eliminating loopholes for the simple reason that
various credits, exemptions, etc. are given for whatever behavior
Congress deems worthy. Or, more accurately, for whatever behavior
enough lobbyists and campaign contributors favor. The result is a
distortion of the market. A politically connected industry can
enjoy tax breaks for themselves and even people who buy their
products, allowing them to defeat competitors who might otherwise
prevail in a free market.
A tax code without special loopholes, deductions, credits,
exemptions, etc. would be a step away from economic
micromanagement.
5) I support means-testing as a politically feasible way to reduce
the amount of gov't involvement in medicine. When the gov't is
involved in providing health care for every single senior citizen,
that fuels the perception that health care simply can't be trusted
to the market. If fewer people receive their health care from the
gov't and the sky doesn't fall, that will reframe the terms of the
debate. It will enable discussion of wonkish measures like health
savings accounts and whatever else the folks in think-tanks are
thinking about, not to mention the standard response of private
charity for poor elderly people.
Now, the progressivity of means-testing might seem anathema to
some, but the bottom line is that it's the only politically
feasible way to reduce the number of people receiving their health
care from the gov't. As we move in that direction, the terms of the
debate can change.
'Round here, it's not so much the income tax that gets you as it
is the property tax. The poor/lower middle class have fairly
reasonable tax bills that allow them to keep their houses...
however, my parents' $7000(and rising) yearly property tax bill is
forcing them to move.
Also, though we live in the one of the poorest counties in Southern
Illinois (which is saying a lot), the tax assessor in this county
is paid quite a bit more than the tax assessors in more affluent
counties.
I said I was poor because someone asked if there were people who
worked hard, studied hard, and who were poor.
I wasn't complaining about being poor--there's nothing in my
comments that suggests a complaint. And I included my income so
that people who think that making $34,000 a year doesn't qualify as
poor can decide I'm not an example of hard working, hard studying
poor folk.
But to read posters complaining that the poor should quit whining
and start working and then find out that to some of them, the mere
statement "I am poor" qualifies as complaining is enlightening.
joe argues just like the liberal in my head. If only the
government would enact the perfect set of "fair" taxation and
"benevolent" regulation, we could achieve Utopia. It has never
happened. The system creates incentives for further abuse. All the
word games we play will not alter the underlying truth that taking
from those who are not willing to give is theft and limiting choice
through regulation deprives people of their liberty.
As many times as I've heard the arguments for compassionate
coercion, I remain befuddled as to how joe and the guy in my head
can keep their positions. Does history offer no lesson to them?
They don't trust government by pronouncement, yet persistently
endorse its powers through argument and proposition. Somebody in my
head is nuts.
RC, please don't misunderstand. I'm not whining. I'm president
of my own little company and my golf game is coming around.
My point was that upper level salaries in large companies are now
targets for elimination. The traditional thought that you climb the
ladder through a company while depending on their bennies and
pensions is dying. Companies who jettison this experienced set of
overseers (non productive workers, I believe they're called) set
themselves up for rogue employees doing serious damage. Enron,
WorldCom and Abu Ghraib come to mind.
It seems now you need to be an independent contractor to get any
action. Stability, dependability, redundancy and after sale
maintenance is an afterthought. Production is king.
In that huge numbers of the work force are dependent on a paycheck,
retain the hope they can "move up" in their organization, believe
the crap they are fed that they are valued (watch the stock price
of any company when they announce layoffs - it goes up) and don't
have entrepreneur genes, the chances of an increasing gap between
rich and poor increases.
I can't prove this. I just think it.
Up through the 1970s, a person working full-time at minimum
wage could afford to rent a decent apartment with about one week's
pay; now that same apartment would cost about three and a half
week's pay for a month's rent.
That seems unlikely, since the average constant-dollar value of the
minum wage during the 60s and 70s was only about 50% higher than it
is today. The average constant-dollar rent would have had to have
doubled since then, for your claim to be true.
I'd say that is significant.
I wouldn't. But then, I've actually read the Bureau of Labor
Statistics' analysis of
minimum-wage earners, and am therefore aware that less than one
percent people with full-time jobs earn minimum wage.
There aren't any solid statistics on how many people earned minimum
wage back in the mythical "golden years" of the 1960s and 70s. But
we do have records from the early 80s, which allow us to learn that
the portion of the workforce earning minimum wage has fallen to
less than one-fifth its 1980 level.
But society needs people who will scrub toilets, dig ditches,
sell hamburgers and other such unskilled jobs; what is wrong with
letting people who do the crummy jobs make a decent living at
it?
What's wrong with it is that their labor isn't worth a decent
living. There are three hundred million people on Earth who could
scrub a toilet clean without any training, experience,
intelligence, or education. It is simply ridiculous to insist that
anyone who so chooses should be able to earn a living doing
it.
Right now, the company I work for employs a small cleaning service.
Three people spend around an hour cleaning the office each day; it
probably costs us $4000 a year. If you think we'd pay $8000, or
$12000, or $16000 for that, you're insane. We'd live with a dirtier
office, and have the cleaners come in less often.
We don't *need* people to scrub toilets for us; we can do it
ourselves, albeit less frequently. We don't need people to flip
hamburgers -- we can just not buy hamburgers, or do it ourselves.
We don't need people to dig ditches; machines can do it. We *use*
people for these things because there are people who are willing to
do these things for prices we're willing to pay.
If a Wendy's hamburger cost $8.00 instead of $3.50, people wouldn't
eat there anymore. If hiring some half-wit high school dropout to
dig a hole in the ground cost as much as backhoe rental, people
wouldn't hire the half-wit. Wealth can't be magically created by
legislation, and the value of a person's labor can't be magically
increased by a minimum wage. All you can do is increase the cost of
the person's labor -- which means that employers buy less of
it.
Do you think we'd be better off in a world where only the creme
de la creme have a chance at a decent life?
Since when does over 99% of the full-time workforce qualify for
"creme de la creme" status? You don't have to be part of the "creme
de la creme" to earn more than minimum wage in America. You just
have to be able to tie your own shoelaces without an instruction
manual.
The traditional thought that you climb the ladder through a
company while depending on their bennies and pensions is
dying.
I've been hearing people whine about the "traditional career" was
"dying" for over twenty years now. I don't know how much sympathy
you morons are expecting. If, after all this time, you're *still*
surprised by layoffs, then all I can say is that I hope you didn't
manage to have any kids. One generation of clueless businessmen is
enough.
Enron, WorldCom and Abu Ghraib come to mind.
Abu Ghraib, the fault of corporate layoffs of middle managers...
fascinating.
parse-
Now I see the set up, don�t pat yourself on the back too hard. No
one really says �I�m poor� without something soon to follow.
Usually �give me some of yours�, so the response wasn�t really that
enlightening, was it?
My wife began her medical residency this year. We calculated the hours she works then, including overtime and so forth, backed out the wage from the salary; $4.25/hr. Whenever I hear �working poor� I want to start throwing. �working poor� usually means �surprisingly I can�t provide for a family of four on 40 hour of $6.00/hr�. Get two jobs, hell, get three. Here in Salt Lake I can�t drive a block downtown without seeing a posting for some crappy job or other. When I was in college I cleaned industrial kitchens from midnight to 6am, my boss couldn�t keep the positions filled. The work totally sucked, but then again I wasn�t responsible for a family.
We also need to remember that some of the people lumped into the
"poor" category are high school and college students who are
working part-time jobs.
My daughter is a "minimum wage" earner, yet she has a brand new
cell phone and a car that is newer than mine. Should she still be
considered one of the "working poor"?
jc,
Where do you live? The paucity of new rental construction in your
area could result from any number of causes.
What's been very common over the past 50 years is for older
neighborhoods, especially city neighborhoods, to have their housing
stock, built in the 1880s-1930s, converted from single family to
multifamily. There aren't new apartment buildings being built,
because the demand is being met elsewhere. Now, if this goes too
far, it can bring its own set of problems.
Also, with the home mortgage deduction influencing the market, most
people can get into a mortgage, even if it's for a two bedroom
garage under townhouse. The rental market is shrinking as a % of
the overall housing market, and has been for half a century,
because of this. What is left is, mostly, poor people (and you're
not going to meet their demand with expensive new construction, but
with cheaper conversion of old buildings in less desireable areas),
and people whose lifestyles make renting more appealing (this set
of people - students, people who move a lot, etc.) often have other
reasons for wanting to be in older cities, so once again, they're
demand is being met in already-built-out areas.
Are you basing your observation on the suburbs only? There could be
quite a bit of new rental construction in the core city that you
just aren't seeing.
thoreau,
I support means-testing as a politically feasible way to reduce
the amount of gov't involvement in medicine.
You could reduce government involvement by capping benefits across
the board which would be "flatter" and less corruptible. Perhaps
that's less politically feasible, but it is certainly more
understandable as "fair" and more apt to reduce government
payouts.
But it misses the point which is that the medical community WANTS
government involvement in medicine because it keeps prices high.
That's the political feasibility that needs to be addressed. Means
testing is guaranteed to be subject to special loopholes,
deductions, credits, exemptions, etc., and none of this guarantees
any reduced government involvement and in fact may lead to
increased involvement.
I agree with you in spirit, but I can just hear the politicians all
agreeing on means testing today and then we'll be back here ten
years later complaining about the corrupt system and the increased
taxes to pay for it. Political feasibility makes no sense if it's
in opposition to financial feasibility.
Dan: "Abu Ghraib, the fault of corporate layoffs of middle
managers... fascinating."
Exactly true. Lack of mid and senior-level leadership due to low
mannning levels led to lack of supervision at Abu Ghraib and the
opportunity for low-level personnel to have too much latitude...
Hence, the abuses occurred due to corporate layoffs of middle
managers.
Confused? Allow me to explain a bit further:
I would argue that the Dept of Defense has been following EXACTLY
the same sort of nonsensical, self-defeating and
organization-gutting "down-sizing/right-sizing" strategies that
companies like Enron, Worldcom, etc. have followed to their
detriment.
I clearly remember the bad old days of RIF (Reduction In Force)
that stripped senior and mid-level leadership and pretty much
anyone with any significant "corporate memory." Worse, that
brain-dead manning strategy/human resources approach is making a
comeback despite fighting a several-front war.
It looks good on paper, and it even gives civilian corporations a
temporary stock boost. But the long-term damage is profound, and I
would venture to say that examples of large corporations foundering
can be directly related to previously gutting the company's most
valuable resource: people who are knowledgeable about and dedicated
to their organization.
Dan: "If, after all this time, you're *still* surprised by layoffs,
then all I can say is that I hope you didn't manage to have any
kids. One generation of clueless businessmen is enough."
I'm only surprised that clueless businessmen (or in DoD's case
political and military leadership) continue to act against the
organization's own self-interest by gutting them through extremely
damaging manpower/HR policies. Of course, it requires understanding
that what can temporarily benefit an organization in the short-term
can be disastrous in the mid- and long-term. Clueless indeed.
I realize that this was Gadfly's argument to clarify and not mine,
but when I read that argument and Dan's subsequent post, the light
came on and I couldn't resist noodling through it "out loud."
Pigwiggle
Nothing to follow. I'm poor. That's it. I'm not asking for a
handout--I'm not even asking for a hand. The thing is, some people
work hard at other things than getting rich (or even than getting
economically comfortable). I'm one of them. That's my choice, I
take responsibility for it, and I'm not complaining about the
consequences. I'm just pointing out that the claim that no
hard-working/hard studying people are poor doesn't describe my
experience.
So you'll have to revise your conclusion that no one says "I'm
poor" without some hat in hand follow-up.
In tax parlance, "progressive" is used for increasing rates as
income increases, not increasing amounts as income increases.
Whether you agree or disagree that this term is being used
correctly, this is how the term is used in tax proposals.
I'm trying to sift through the numbers to figure out if people are
actually doing better than they were in the 60s and 70s, and if so,
if they're doing better because more women have full-time careers,
and if so, if it's because women have to work for the family to
keep up a standard of living or because household chores are easier
than they used to be or to buy bigger, nicer things.
Statistics don't really mean much because so much is different now
than it was in 1960, economically, culturally, and
politically.
Of course, as a market anarchist, I support the abolition of the
state, including all taxation, on natural law grounds.
- Josh
Exactly true. Lack of mid and senior-level leadership due to
low mannning levels led to lack of supervision at Abu Ghraib and
the opportunity for low-level personnel to have too much
latitude... Hence, the abuses occurred due to corporate layoffs of
middle managers
That's the second stupidest thing I've seen in this thread; I'm
afraid Gadfly still has you beat.
I'm only surprised that clueless businessmen (or in DoD's case
political and military leadership) continue to act against the
organization's own self-interest by gutting them through extremely
damaging manpower/HR policies.
As opposed to the traditional alternative of "keep the dead weight
until you go belly-up".
Of course, it requires understanding that what can temporarily
benefit an organization in the short-term can be disastrous in the
mid- and long-term. Clueless indeed.
If one overlooks the economic boom, dramatic increase in
productivity, and decrease in overall unemployment that we have
enjoyed since businesses adopted these policies then, yeah, I can
see how one might arrive at the amusing conclusion that the
policies are "clueless".
Dan is obviously of that lean, mean fighting machine, Michael
Milkin generation. The idea is to wring every penny out of a
company as fast and efficiently as possible. Little care for the
future since you'll get yours anyway and bankruptcy is painless for
the execs.
In fact, bankruptcies are good - economic Darwinism in action - and
given our current environment we are doing great. Bankruptcies (and
debt) are at an alltime high. No matter that shareholders and
pensioners are last in line at Court.
Like a fast schooner racing for the horizon, when the wind dies a
little, we start tossing off "baggage" to maintain speed. When
that's done we adjust the speedometer to make it appear we're not
losing ground. The wind comes back up but now we don't have any
"baggage" to take advantage of it so we just borrow against the
next puff of wind. When all else fails the cap'n hops a new boat
and leaves the leftover "baggage" to flounder. That is our economic
model.
Hahahah! You nearly made me spew water out of my nose Dan.
That's a devastating attack: "You're stupid." Got to remember that
one the next time I have absolutely no response to someone else's
statement! Kind of an all-purpose no-logic response that I'm sure
wowed them in the 1st grade.
I'll respond to the other 2 nonsensical one-liners like this:
1. That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard.
2. That's the second stupidest thing I've ever heard.
Obviously, this makes me the undisputed winner of this argument,
based on the rules implied by Dan's response. I'd follow up with
"you're a poopy boo-boo breath turdy-head," but that would just be
running up the scoreboard, right?
Seriously...
1. I didn't say that dead weight isn't a reasonable source for
lay-offs. Don't attack a straw man. (That's nearly as much bad form
as ad hominem attacks, "stupid.") I said the military went through
cuts in the 90s that pushed out people who were dedicated,
knowledgeable, essential ASSETS to their organization who were
necessary for it to function correctly. Facing operations that
require the US to call on the Reserves and Nat'l Guard certainly
seem to be proof that we don't have enough regular military
personnel to handle the aftermath of the successful military
operations in Afghanistan and Iraq.
2. Sure, as long as we're overlooking the times that haven't led to
the economic boom because of bad HR practices that contributed to
their problems and/or downfall (like Enron, Worldcom and Abu
Ghraib) you can focus on the corporations that are successful. But
that wasn't the point, doesn't respond to my post, and you know it.
(But that's the beauty of the straw man argument, it doubles nicely
as a dodge, right?)
At any rate, immaturity, dirty pool and intellectual dishonesty
shouldn't trump logic, sensible discourse and Reason. So for stupid
things said on Reason, I think Dan should put on his pointy dunce
cap and go to the head of the class.
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