September 30, 2003
Bruce Sterling offers a list of 10 technologies that, he says, "are so blatantly obnoxious that the human race would rejoice if they were summarily executed." Among them: land mines, incandescent light bulbs, implants, and DVDs.
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Wow, this guy has fallen off his rocker. I mean, DVDs? His only
reasoning is that they are easily damaged (I've not had this
problem, but...), and that commercials are forced onto them.
Well gee, yeah lets just dump this tech because it isn't perfect
now. No no, don't try to make it better, just ditch it alltogether
and go outside to play marbles or something.
I can certainly agree to ditching landmines (although even then
with new tech it would be possible to make them deactivate when the
war is over), but the rest of his so called unneeded technologies
are basically things that HE doesn't find useful so he thinks
everyone wouldn't care if they just ceased to exist. What an
arrogant ass :/
That's quite possible in the top ten stupidest lists of all
time. The internal combustion engine is on this list?! Yeah, that's
done a lot more harm than good. How can someone claim that we can
advance without taking steps?
His reasons for disliking DVDs include "I'm ham-fisted and sloppy"
and "I don't like watching commercials that I'd have to see on TV
or at the movies anyway."
In fairness to Sterling, he's promoting making these things go
away by innovation, or as he says, "A wise society would honor its
young technical innovators for services rendered in annihilating
obsolete technologies that are the dangerous hangovers of previous,
less advanced generations."
But that aside, I have some problems with some (most) of his list.
Particularly his view of how to replace prisons. Not only is the
prospect of having all the violent offenders walking the streets a
bit disconcerting, but then he proposes to make it so they can't
buy anything or travel anywhere since the've been punished by
having their "internal visa" (ouch! no thanks) turned off. I can
just picture some two-time murder hacking off Sterling's arm to get
at his internal visa, before buying a slurrpie and hopping a bus
out of town.
What an arrogant ass.
I wonder how the SOUTH Koreans feel about landmines?
Does he really not understand that once the technology for nuclear
weapons exists, we can only strive for deterrence?
The internal combustion engine? Argh!
Obnoxious technologies wouldn't come into existence if they weren't very much better than non-obnoxious alternatives. The obnoxiety is proportional to the need... so this is really just a list of "coolest, most essential inventions."
Anyone tries to take my DVDs from me, and he'll be the one "summarily executed."
Not to jump on the wagon now that everyone's beating on
Sterling, but I decided to withhold judgment pending the input of
something insightful from a dissenter.
It is as I thought -- a really stupid list.
What would be some really BAD technologies and devices?
All I could think of were car alarms, which could easily be
replaced by a chip relaying info to a device in your remote lock
telling you your car had just been broken into. Bonus if it also
sent a message to police.
Ah, DVDs. Can't help but love a format that's used to create
artificial trade barriers - the concept of region codes is
disgusting - and monopoly - don't even think of creating an
unlicensed DVD player in the US because it's a felony. Thank you
DMCA!
Here's a clue for the more hotheaded among us - change "executed"
to "replaced".
Nomination for the greatest piece of technology in the last 20
years:
Those little disposable flossy things that keep you from having to
cut off the circulation in your finger. Absolutely genious.
Bruce Sterling is a neo-luddite ? Wow, are there any science fiction fans here at all ?
And by the way, as someone mentioned earlier, he is not proposing legislating these things away. He wants them innovated into obsolescence. Which is almost a certainty. So the IC engine lovers here can continue to drive them till 4000 AD if they want to, but the rest of us would like to get on with the jet packs OK. Neo-luddite yourselves !
I seem to recall that in the 50s that we were told that we'd all
be traveling in flying cars by the year 2000. My car needs new
tires.
Scatterzoom, SM
Nuclear weapons have been the greatest deterent to invasion
known to man. Prior to our nuking Japan, big wars broke out on a
regular basis, and no country was immune. But once you've got a
nuke, your country is safe from invasion, even from the US! Never
get rid of these peace machines. Its what's keeping North Korea and
Pakistan sovereign.
Here's a technology nobody wanted: daytime running lights on new
cars. I never know when the funeral procession is done.
SM:
My concern is that Sterling says that X is obnoxious, then says
that X doesn't work (like nukes for deterrence, or landmines). If
something people would pay for worked better, they would use
it.
What do you suppose he is thinking of when he suggests that
technology obsolete the landmine?
The strategic value of it is:
1) it is inexpensive
2) it allows geographically disadvantaged (i.e. wide open) nations
to control avenues of advance and thereby not have to fight 360
degrees.
3) It prevents a large in manpower forces from running over small
in manpower forces.
You suppose Sterling would support a mine that can be forcibly
detonated with great reliability so as to mitigate the costs after
the conflict is over?
It's good to see that Sterling's non-fiction writing is as bad as his fiction writing.
Citizen,
You wrote -
"I seem to recall that in the 50s that we were told that we'd all
be traveling in flying cars by the year 2000. My car needs new
tires."
I seem to recall that in the fifties we were told that Jesus would
show up in 2001. What's your point ? Are you saying that because
someone underestimated the effort neccessary towards some new
technology or even got it completely wrong, therefore what we
currently have on hand is the coolest, forever ?
Jason Ligon,
OK so he was over the top with the "obnoxious" etc. But i suspect
that Sterling, who is a science fiction writer and a science/tech
writer for Wired was indulging in some lateral thinking. Nuclear
weapons are a case in point. What he's saying is that they may be a
liability in the kinds of wars it currenly seems we will be called
upon to fight in the future. Not that it didn't keep the peace IN
THE PAST against the soviets etc. He may be wrong, but it certainly
isn't peacenik hopeful thinking or professional environmentalism on
his part. As for mines & other hopefully obsolete tech, look
here -
http://www.wired.com/news/technology/0,1282,54641,00.html
The US military, it seems, is thinking more along Sterling's lines
than most people here.
I know that people on this board were defending the DVD sort of in
jest, but the only way it will still be in use in a couple of 100
years is if Osama Bin Laden is Caliph. There are already such a
thing as the iPod, right folks ;)
SM,
That link you provided took me to a discussion on high-tech defense
against RPGs, not anything about land mines. In any case, the
article had a few mistakes. The RPG is based upon the German WW-2
Panzerfaust, the deadliest hand-held antitank weapon of its day. In
fact, IIRC the RPG-1 was just a Communist manufactured Panzerfaust.
By the '60s, the improved RPG-2 was having trouble knocking out the
American M-48 tanks in 'nam, leading to the development of the (yet
more) improved RPG-7. Today, in the aftermath of our latest war, US
Marines want an American made version of the weapon.
As far as the "lateral thinking" towards nukes: so, how do we go
about making them all disapear? Sure, if that happened, we might
still be top dog--but how would we ensure that this happened in
places like NK and China, so that they don't become top-dog while
we are giving up the weapons? The history of international
agreements eliminating useful weapons from inventories has been
poor, at best. Even problamatic gas & germ weapons have been
developed despite international aggrements, and these have yet to
prove decisive on the battlefield. Soft point rifle bullets were
banned after higher velocity boat tail spitzers proved more
devistating than the existing soft points.
What's our fascination with ranking shit anyways? It seems everyone thinks they're David Letterman these days.
Don,
I threw in the link to the tank capacitor article as an example of
an innovative technological advance that can potentially render
prior generations of weapons tech obsolete. And which, thank god,
the US military is exploring. I doubt this is the only black op the
US has going. I did not mean to use it as a counter to the land
mine - i dont know anything specific about land mines or any other
military ordnance, for that matter.
As far as i can tell almost none of the technologies in his list
has a viable market alternative. YET.
However, the magic quote from Sterling is -
"A wise society would honor its young technical innovators for
services rendered in annihilating obsolete technologies that are
the dangerous hangovers of previous, less advanced generations. Let
me offer some candidates."
Can you show me in here or anywhere else in the article any mention
of "international agreements" ? If he knew how to go about "making
them all disapear" he wouldnt be a SF writer, would he ?
My point is simply that though Sterling may be wrong about any or
all of the technologies he lists, he certainly isn't the luddite
here.
BTW, might i suggest that the strong reaction people had to his article result was more a result of people free associating from each induvidual item (nukes, IC engine etc) to anti-nuclear activists, greens, environemntalists etc, ie things he makes no mention of.
6. Manned spaceflight... Well, there's no good use for it. I
don't see any reason to pursue it.
7. Prisons with bars and guards... hmmm... maybe manned space
flight has its uses after all.
Manned spaceflight actually has a very good long term use, if you look at the big picture. The fact that the end of every geological epoch has been marked by mass extinctions (in some cases, up to 90% of living species) does not bode well for the long-term survival of homo sapiens if we choose to live on Earth alone.
Granted, this is the very long-term view, but I would say that the importance of the issue warrants a little advance planning.
Internal combustion engines... what a disaster they turned out
to be. They put out of work all those guys who shoveled horseshit
out of our city streets.
Yeah, I think I'd rather visit Manhattan in 1903 than in 2003.
Almost no cars existed back then.
As a longtime reader of Mr Sterling, I'm hoping this article was
a just a joke to launch a flamewar or sabotage by someone
else...otherwise, i just don't understand it. anyone familiar with
his work knows that he is certainly not a neo-luddite.
SM: "As far as i can tell almost none of the technologies in his
list has a viable market alternative. YET."
i hope that was his point. but it was very sloppily executed.
Maya Z,
"anyone familiar with his work knows that he is certainly not a
neo-luddite."
That was my point too. All he was doing, IMHO, was throwing
together a list of future technologies. He is a futurist, after
all.
I have to say - from the reaction of people here you would think
that the IC engine just magically appeared in the world circa 1900
or so. Nobody ever talked, wrote or thought about it or debated its
superiority over/inferiority to the Horse Buggy ever, before the
very first pumpkin transformed into a Ford. Sheesh.
That said, i would disagree with him at least on the subject of
manned spaceflight.
Kevin Carson,
"A "society" doesn't create technologies, and it shouldn't be in a
position to approve or disapprove them. People who like them can
buy them, and those who don't should leave them alone."
So you think he's calling for a New Deal on behalf of his list
?
He is positing new technologies, not mandating them.
Don,
Here's the only lateral thinking so far that I'm aware of for
making nukes obsolete:
http://physicsweb.org/article/news/7/5/7
I'm not sure what degree of targeting precision would be required.
It might therefore be possible to hide nuclear weapons to prevent
their neutralization, perhaps in places like nuclear power plants
where they would be harder to detect (and one presumably couldn't
just casually zap the powerplant as a precaution without knocking
it out). Terrorists or rogue states with a handful of bombs might
therefore be able to dodge this solution. It could probably greatly
restrict the deployment of nuclear-armed missiles or air-delivered
bombs, though.
----------
I think Sterling must have written the article with tongue at least
halfway in cheek. His statements regarding prisons strike me as
more of a commentary on modern reliance on and vulnerability of
"electronic identities" than as a serious suggestion on an
alternative punishment (in effect, we're all living just a few
computer glitches away from "prison"). When it comes to violent
crime, I think the sequestration of the offender from the
population in the interest of safety ranks ahead of "punishment" as
the reason for locking criminals up.
A "society" doesn't create technologies, and it shouldn't be in
a position to approve or disapprove them. People who like them can
buy them, and those who don't should leave them alone.
As for land-mines, they're pretty handy if you're a defensive power
and you'd like to use your military manpower to defend in depth
instead of dispersing it between every possible enemy axis of
advance.
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