Spending Denialists and the Fiscal Illusion

The late economist James Buchanan predicted our current budgetary impasse. Is there a way out?

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Take a look at Senior Editor Brian Doherty’s piece “Congress After Ron Paul” (page 18). There you will see interviews with three new and one returning GOP member of Congress who speak a different language than the generation of Republicans who preceded them. Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky favors cutting military spending, and says, “A lot of domestic programs I cannot find a constitutional basis for.” Florida’s Ted Yoho says out loud what Republicans have long since stopped thinking: eliminate the Department of Education. And Michigan’s Justin Amash, the House’s heir apparent to Ron Paul, criticizes his colleagues for being “afraid” that “if they are too bold they will be voted out of office.”

These are not Karl Rove’s Republicans. They’re not John Boehner’s either—the speaker purged Amash from the House Budget Committee in December, and Amash returned the favor by leading a failed revolt against Boehner’s leadership when the 113th Congress was sworn in.

James Buchanan taught us all that in politics and governance, incentives matter. As the fiscal cliff gives way to the debt ceiling impasse and other artificial deadlines to come, intriguing questions linger. Can we finally create incentives to reward politicians who peel the curtain back on the fiscal illusion? Will the GOP, at long bloody last, take concrete steps to cut government? 

The spending denialists might hold the upper hand for the moment, but their political future—and our economic prospects—are brushing up against another truism about deficit spending, made famous by the late Herbert Stein: “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”  

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  • Pro Libertate| |

    We don't have a spending problem. We have a theft problem.

  • Stephdumas| |

    I'm tempted to said we have both: a spending problem and a theft problem!

    Besides James Buchanan's texts, I spotted on Amazon, a book titled "The culture of debt" by James V. McTevia.

  • Paul.| |

    We don't have a spending problem, we have a democracy problem.

  • MoreFreedom| |

    Good point Pro Libertate. Politicians are stealing our money and using it to buy votes (the Democratic way) or to generate campaign cash (the Republican and Democratic way). Well, maybe I'm wrong, as most Republicans also seem to be defending redistribution of our money to seniors.

  • The Late P Brooks| |

    Boehner feigned astonishment for the benefit of the WSJ editorial board.
    In the face-to-face with The Glorious 0, he said, "I know that, but we've got to throw a few scraps to the rubes."

  • | |

  • Sevo| |

    You know who else lived by the big lie.

  • | |

    Bernie Madoff?

  • LTC(ret) John| |

    Carlo Pietro Giovanni Guglielmo Tebaldo Ponzi?

  • Almanian!| |

    tl;dr

  • LTC(ret) John| |

    You know, Ponzi.

    /Ayyy, thumbs up

    (wait, that was Fonzi)

  • Almanian!| |

    Every Scientologist ever?

  • Doctor Whom| |

    "So, it is almost a false argument to say we have a spending problem.

    So it's almost a false argument? What does that make it, a true argument?

    We have a budget deficit problem that we have to address."

    I guess it does.

  • Calvin Coolidge| |

    Meanwhile, over at Slate, the eminent economists in the comments sections have figured out that the government can actually print its own money, and thus will never run out! Why hasn't someone thought of this before!? We can spend and spend forever!!!

  • Almanian!| |

    I STILL HAVE CHECKS!!!1!!!!!eleventykabillion!1!

  • Doctor Whom| |

    My Bank of China credit card hasn't reached its expiration date yet, so it must still be good, right?

  • XM| |

    What about things like inflation?

  • Calvin Coolidge| |

    Hasn't been a serious concern in at least 10 years, and thus is not a factor that enters the mind of the typical college sophomore posting at Slate.

  • Doctor Whom| |

    “Spending isn’t the problem,” Steve Benen wrote at Rachel Maddow’s blog in December. “We don’t have a spending problem. We have an aging problem,” seconded Mother Jones’s Kevin Drum in January. “We don’t have a spending problem, we have a military spending problem,” chimed in The Washington Post’s Ezra Klein.

    In addition to the fact that we don't have just an aging problem or just a military spending problem, those quotes have an air of "It isn't a spending problem because we refuse to call it that."

  • MoreFreedom| |

    Government won't be making much progress on the aging problem, considering they want the FDA to regulate vitamins and nutritional supplements.

    They are already confiscating walnuts on the basis the seller made health benefit claims for walnuts; thus, are illegal drugs. http://www.lef.org/featured-ar.....-Drugs.htm

    They're joining the TSA in wanting to handle my nuts.

    On the plus side, you can get free mammograms and prostate exams at the airport now.

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  • Paul.| |

    Send this to Barack Obama.

  • plusafdotcom| |

    So, Presidebt Obama, with ads like that, why do we still have poverty and unemployment problems in the US???

  • grey| |

    Aging Population = No Spending Problem. So the problem is inate in the eldery, through some as yet undiscovered magical property, they absorb money from the government?

    Isn't this whole thing like saying: I don't have a spending problem, my vacations are too expensive? Damn vacations.

  • some guy| |

    The magical property you're looking for is called "voting". Voters absorb money from the government, the elderly are better at it because there are more of them and more of them vote.

    Basically, the Greatest Generation started this mess. Maybe they didn't know any better at the time. But now the Boomers have decided to ride it out, hoping they won't live long enough to see the crash...

  • Aging American| |

    What about the non-working class that are fulling capable of working. Don't you think they absorb alot of the money?

    These aging people you talk about have worked their entire lives and paid into the system. What are you going to do when you get too old to work? You probably haven't thought much about that because young people think they are going to be young forever.
    But why aren't we talking about the non-working class, the ones that are fully capable of working. How much are we spending on them? Lets get them off the government payroll and back to work. That wouldn't solve all our problems but it would be a responsible start.

  • TANSTaaFL| |

    "What are you going to do when you get too old to work?"

    Certainly not collect Social Security because your generation continually voted for politicians that promised you "free stuff" and so your SS money was spent. Then you just voted the same politicians in again to give you all my SS money leaving none for anyone. Basically, all young people have to save enough for two retirements - yours (also called "FICA") and our own which is called savings and a 401K.

    Fuck you and your BS. You had a vote for decades and your generation voted to spend all your savings, and now continue to vote in favor of stealing ours.

  • The Late P Brooks| |

    "Oh, please, monsieur. It is a little game we play. They put it on the bill, I tear up the bill. It is very convenient."

  • Broseph of Invention| |

    I know that car-over-a-cliff picture better than I know a lot of my friends.

    The Administration sounds like those people that go on Oprah with massive personal debts, who think the problem isn't the lifestyle, but that they don't make as much as they deserve.

  • some guy| |

    I was thinking Judge Judy, but Oprah works too.

  • DarrenM| |

    It was for this reason that Buchanan favored balanced budget amendments rather than an endless series of tax cuts.

    I tend to agree. This could mean balance over some period of time instead of each year. I don't care if we increase taxes or cut spending. I just think it's a travesty to force future generations to pay for our selfishness and the crap *we* want rather than what *they* might want. Debt is a certainty. It will not go away short of default or hyper-inflation. Increasing taxes is gambling that growth will increase fast enough to match it. It's a very unwise gamble.

  • Homple| |

    Pretty to think so, but a Balanced Budget Amendment would be treated exactly like the Second, Fourth, Fifth, Ninth, and Tenth Amendments.

  • some guy| |

    "The budget shall be balanced at least once during each 4-year presidential term."

    Something like that might work. But only if people decide to start caring about the Constitution again...

  • MoreFreedom| |

    That won't work due to accounting gimmicks. They'll hold tax revenues and record it in a surplus year, while spending will be paid in deficit years, and shifted from surplus years.

  • grey| |

    No worries! I just found out from MSNBC that the Deficit is not a problem - it's the debt. I feel so stupid now that it was explained, I thought there was direct causality between the debt and the deficit. Apparently though, they are unrelated. Sleep well tonight deficit hawks and spending phobes.

  • TomG| |

    Progressives like to point to Europe. Why not follow Europe on this one and pass a balanced budget amendment, like Germany?

  • GregMax| |

    So . . . we either get this governing elite idiocy under control or we watch the walls come crumbling down. I'm pessimistic. It's a little like telling Aunty Leesa (or Uncle Larry) all the excessive adipose tissue building up around their ass and gut is a problem. They deny that a) there is too much fat and b) that there is any negative health consequence to an excess 200 pounds - and climbing - of toxin-storing, energy-demanding, god-knows-what else killing fat.
    Back to the trough.
    Wake up! The shit's gonna hit the fan, because human nature is the same human nature that has brought down economies and smokers and couch potatoes (yes, there's an e in potatoes) for eons!
    But it's somehow silly to suggest things might actually get worse than better in OUR society.

  • grey| |

    I'm not sure human nature is to blame, at least not as much as the nature of a collective that distorts an individuals behavior by offering perverse incentives for unhealthy actions.

  • GregMax| |

    I think my point is that it isn't really a "distortion" of human behavior at all - or collective nature. We progress when stress and the environment require it, but also there's a difference between human (or its societal analog) nature when the human is insecure or hungry, versus when the human is content and blind to the possibility that a tornado can come and throw the human back into the wild.
    When societies progress to the peak where there is plenty for all, then rulers start getting greedy and the curve begins to go down again. And it's in the nature of the elite to continue to deny they are being stupid, rather than rational and making economic policy choices that bend the curve back up.
    Other than greed, arrogance, and idiocy how do you explain government spending choices?

  • grey| |

    Wouldn't disagree, more like adding. Just wanted to point out that it's only through the collectivists and trust in government that they've been allowed to exercise their greed, arrogance, and idiocy in such a manner as to harm so many beyond their immediate selves and families.

  • Aging American| |

    All the talk is about the aging population, but most of these people have worked their entire lives and paid into social security. We owe it to these people to find a way to support social security. These people are part of the working class. Why aren't we talking more about how much we are spending on the non-working class. Many of these people are fully capable of working and paying into the system. If we are serious about cutting spending, why don't we start with getting the people that are fully capable of working off the entitlement train and back to work.

  • grey| |

    Aging American, who is 'We'? You have Nancy Pelosi in your pocket? She's got a fat purse, how about she volunteer. Didn't a majority of those you wish to protect support Obama? Didn't these people have decades to vote in more sensible government officials. I think many of the the people you're referring to have gone along with idea that generational theft is fair.

  • Aging American| |

    Don't put me in the Obama bucket, I am a conservative republican. I have never voted for a democrat my entire life. I understand that the aging population is taking the lions share of the country's money. But what I am saying is that I am tired of working my entire life and paying the government while the non working class (many of whom are fully capable of working) continues to feed at the trough and no body talks about it. Let's talk about getting all the non working class back to work and paying into the system before we talk about taking the working class benefits away

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  • paydayloans| |

    Now that fiscal constraints are starting to bite, many politicians are afraid to reform or even to discuss changes in the largest problem areas: Medicare and Medicaid. Yes, some laudable cost controls on Medicare are embedded in the new health care law, but they’re not enough. Most likely, we will end up making other spending cuts that won’t solve our fiscal problems.

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