Scott Walker Enjoys Commanding Lead in Latest Poll

With less than a week before the recall election, incumbent Gov. Scott Walker leads in a new poll from Marquette Law School.

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But the discussion got particularly heated a few weeks ago when the state Department of Workforce Development, which is part of Walker’s administration, took the unprecedented step of releasing revised 2011 jobs numbers, months before they’re normally announced.

The DWD report showed that Wisconsin gained more than 23,000 jobs last year, contradicting an earlier U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics study that said Wisconsin lost more jobs in 2011 than any other state.

The numbers were released one day before the scheduled DWD release of April’s unemployment numbers, which showed Wisconsin lost 5,900 jobs that month, including 6,200 in the private sector.

Critics said Walker was using his administration for political purposes.

Walker’s campaign said the numbers prove Walker is improving Wisconsin, and turned the criticism back on Barrett for overseeing a city with an increase in unemployment.

“The policies Barrett has implemented in his city have proven detrimental and Wisconsin cannot afford to let him take the state back to the failed days of record-setting job loss and double-digit tax increases,” Walker spokeswoman Ciara Matthews said in a statement after the DWD report was released.

Wisconsinites, even political experts, find themselves confused as to the current job situation.

But the Marquette numbers skew strongly in Walker’s favor: In Marquette’s poll released two weeks ago, 20 percent of those polled said Wisconsin has more jobs now than it did a year ago. That’s up to 38 percent in the poll released Wednesday—an 18-percent increase in two weeks.

Democrats sounded a positive note Wednesday.

Before to the release of the Marquette poll, Barrett’s office announced a different poll showing the gubernatorial race tied at 49 percent.

That poll was conducted by Celinda Lake, whom Franklin said is a “very respected” Democratic pollster.

Franklin announced Marquette’s results with several notes of caution.

First, he said, don’t read too much into any one poll, then noted that no poll since April has shown Barrett leading.

The Lake poll, however, was taken after Friday’s debate, and Barrett might have gotten a boost from his showdown with Walker, Franklin said.

All polls come with a margin of error: For the Marquette poll, it was 3.7 percent for questions involving all respondents and 4.1 percent for those questions asked only of likely voters.

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  • WarrenT||

    I give not one fuck about Walker, I just want to see the unions lose and am dismayed that the gap isn't wider.

  • wareagle||

    the gap may well be wider. When Repubs have slim leads, the reality is often a far larger lead. Still, the unions are pouring a shit ton of money into this, they will have the goon squad out in full force next Tuesday, and they count on the ignorance of a certain percentage of the public.

  • jacob the barbarian||

    This is a case where Walker is performing a public service by kicking the Public Employee Unions in the balls. If he can follow this up by ass raping them somehow, I will only applaud all the more.

  • AlmightyJB||

    I wouldn't get too excited about this yet. Nothing more dangerous then a cornered animal which is wht the unions are at this point. They have "enthusiasm" on their side.

  • Almanian's Evil Twin||

    What JB said. Remember Ohio....

  • Randian||

    Ohio was a done deal from the beginning. The whole framing of that debate was well done by the pro-union side.

  • Sharon Stone||

    Plus Northeast Ohio still remains a cesspool for Union activity.

  • Randian||

    Just wait though - when the 20% school aid cuts come, I want to watch everyone shed tasty tears even though SB5 would have prevented this.

  • Sharon Stone||

    The most ironic part about last november's election was the fact that SB5 failed and yet school levies were failing all across different areas of the state.

    I cannot wait for the day when we get rid of these leeches.

  • jacob the barbarian||

    Think seal kill. Find em, bash em, skin em. Repeat.

  • R C Dean||

    Wisconsin has a long history of significant voter fraud. It ain't over til the last lawyer is sent home.

  • Nicholas Card||

    [citation needed]

  • Cool Story, Bro||

    It took me all of 2 seconds to type "voter fraud in Wisconsin" into Google.

  • JoshSN||

    And the very first link is PolitiFact, saying that recent allegations of Voter Fraud by Reince Preibus and Scott Walker were"false.

    Cool Deceit, Fuckwit.

  • Anonymous Coward||

    If the Marquette Law School poll says 7%, more likely the reality is 12%.

  • Sevo||

    Sorta like hoping for Mittens, except in this case Walker did something.

  • DrAwkward||

    "20 percent of those polled said Wisconsin has more jobs now than it did a year ago. That’s up to 38 percent in the poll released Wednesday—an 18-percent increase in two weeks"

    No, that's an 18-point increase, or an increase of around 90%.

  • Sevo||

    Fun with numbers! You can always trust a newspaper reporter:
    'We found a 100% increase in the number of folks who support X!'
    Yep. last week it was one, now it's two

  • sweeterjan||

    20 percent of those polled said Wisconsin has more jobs now than it did a year ago. That’s up to 38 percent in the poll released Wednesday—an 18-percent increase in two weeks"

  • jason||

    He is campaigning for a long time and he is doing very good.

  • joy||

    Seventy-seven percent of those polled last week said they had heard or read about the John Doe investigation, up 5 percentage points from February.

  • Concerned Citizen||

    We just had Martin Sheen visiting central Ohio to support statist Sherrod Brown. He is the finest of limousine liberals. I hope his trip home ends badly.

  • دردشه عراقية||



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