Nick Gillespie from the May 2009 issue
(Page 2 of 4)
Munger: The creation of new bureaucratic and regulatory structures, restrictions on creation of liquidity. The genius of the American system, for all its flaws, has been that we can mobilize lots of liquidity quickly. Silicon Valley exists because you could sit down, make a pitch, and get $10 million that afternoon.
If we start governing finance like we govern universities, or city councils, we are going to lose that. Having committees, and a bunch of forms to sign off on, and stamps…Hernando de Soto wrote about systems like this. They strangle business, investment, and growth.
Higgs: It entails the addition of a huge increment to the burden of debt the public must bear, directly or indirectly. It redirects resources on a grand scale from uses consumers value to uses politicians value and thereby impoverishes the general public.
McArdle: Even if you accept the theory of the stimulus, the package is not well-structured. A good stimulus package should be designed to move money out the door rapidly, then stop. This program is designed to move money out the door slowly and keep going. Moreover, the vast size of the package is going to add big costs in the not-so-distant future which have barely been discussed.
McCloskey: It’s not targeted, not temporary, not timely. Especially the last. Too slow, too slow, alas.
Miron: The package is focused on increased spending and tax cuts that fail to improve incentives. I am extremely skeptical that the U.S. has $500 billion in additional productive spending, especially if done in a hurry. In most areas government spending is too high, not too low.
Meltzer: No thought is given to the medium and longerterm consequences. We are very likely to have large inflation in the next few years.
Niskanen: Nothing in the package increases the incentive to work, save, invest, or increase productivity. Any spending stimulus should be limited to increasing the demand for housing, in order to increase the value of the mortgage-backed securities that are limiting the ability of the banks to lend.
Norberg: The biggest problem is that it destroys savings by using them on projects that the majority did not think were reasonable a year ago. We take capital that would have been available to companies and poorer countries and use it to create a stimulus that will have its largest impact after the economy has already turned the corner—so that it will contribute to another round of boom and bust.
Hummel: The biggest problem with the stimulus package is the amount by which it increases total government spending, the national debt, and therefore future taxes.
Perry: First, like all fiscal stimulus packages in the past, the current one will not impact the economy at the right time for the intended stimulus effect, due to the inevitable problems of long lags. Much of the intended expansionary fiscal effects won’t happen until next year and even 2011, and it’s likely the economy will have recovered sufficiently by then so that the fiscal stimulus will be unnecessary and might actually be destabilizing.
Second, the fiscal stimulus has to be paid for eventually in the form of higher taxes, which will have a negative economic effect in the future, i.e., the “fiscal child abuse” effect. That is, any positive short-term effects of this stimulus package will be more than offset by future negative effects in the form of reduced future economic growth, decreased investments, and lower incomes.
Is there anything in the stimulus package that you think
will work? If so, what?
Miron: Roughly, no.
Niskanen: No. Almost all of the tax cuts are welfare payments channeled through the tax system, not reductions in marginal rates.
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There is no disagreement
Heh heh. Not when you own the government lock, stock and
barrel.
The Lusty Lady is just a few blocks down from me on Western Ave. The sign is always good for lulz.
JP,
A Seattle icon! They change the sign about once a week, and
actually maintain a reasonable level of wit.
Recently spotted: "Spring Beaver."
Dagny, I thought you were some kind of filthy Canuck or something. I'm pretty happy I was wrong.
Episiarch,
I thought I'd seen that sign in Seattle! I assume you and Lindsay
will be going there soon.
Warty,
I am indeed a filthy Canuck who cleverly managed to escape to the
land of the marginally-more-free.
I assume you and Lindsay will be going there
soon.
Well, I presume the girls at The Lusty Lady are attractive, and
that's not Lindsay's style, so...no.
I'm pretty shocked at the number of these guys who want indirect
bailouts for irresponsible house "owners" and the banks that lent
to them. The problem was that housing was overpriced, that needs to
correct itself. Just say no to subsidies!
(Though I'm sure as hell getting my 8k welfare check anyway, since
I am paying for it.)
Episiarch,
Yes, you may be right about that.
I'm looking forward to seeing you on the cover of Us! Do
you plan to be passed out or blurred out?
There is no disagreement
It was considered more palatable than "nobody can stop us".
"During a White House press briefing yesterday, ABC's Jake
Tapper pointed out that unemployment is right about where an Obama
economic adviser predicted it would be without the stimulus.
Tapper also noted that Obama had announced the 2,000th stimulus
project the day before, but it turns out that this is the 2,000th
planned project. Tapper asks Gibbs: How many projects have actually
been started?
Gibbs will, uh, look into it: "I can certainly look for a number. I
think what we highlighted was the fact that you've got bids that
are coming in. You've got the acceptance of a bid. But I can get
exact numbers in terms of how much ground has actually been
broken."
Oh, and about that very worthwhile 2,000th project, the Christian
Science Monitor reports:
[I]t seems almost churlish to question whether Kalamazoo County
really needs three east- and three west-bound lanes on I-94,
especially at a cost of $68 million to federal taxpayers.
While the population of the western Michigan county has grown 3
percent since 2000, it's not exactly congested. "We've got a lot of
things to deal with out here, but traffic isn't one of them," said
Monitor correspondent and Kalamazoo resident Yvonne Zipp in an
interview.
Rush hour lasts 10 minutes, maybe 15 on a Friday, she added."
So I stupidly click, anyway. "My eyes! The goggles do
nothing!"
Anyhow, like I said, blurred out. I assume Lindsay will stick with
her usual passed out photo. Her constant state of unconsciousness
should jibe well with your necrophiliac tendencies.
You people are stupid. Youu spend all your time jacking off to thoughts of what it would be like if everyone agreed with you rather than the reality that your ideas just don't work and most people recognize that and are thus a little bit scared by your fanatical devotion to those ideas.
Who did Megan McCardle blow to get on the list? She is an MBA and a journalist not an academic economist. I don't know why they wasted collumn inches on her.
Don't fret, Dagny. You stopped being a Canadian the second you swam across that river with the bloodhounds in pursuit. No barbed wire or guards' bullets could keep you from your dream of a slightly higher level of sweet, sweet freedom.
"You people are stupid. Youu spend all your time jacking off to
thoughts of what it would be like if everyone agreed with you
rather than the reality that your ideas just don't work and most
people recognize that and are thus a little bit scared by your
fanatical devotion to those ideas."
Who's ass liberated this crap?
SugarFree whatever the hell that means, it's none of your business how much I pay in taxes or whether I'm even employed. And what kind of name is "SugarFree" anyway? You libertarians are so immature.
You stopped being a Canadian the second you
swam walked across that river with
the bloodhounds in pursuit.
And the proper term for Dagny is "snowback."
There has been a terrible outbreak of liberal trolls on here lately. Did this site get mentioned on KOS or something?
"Every single crisis in the last 100 years shows that doing
nothing would have been preferable to doing bad things."
That pretty much sums it up.
John,
Most of them--the lion's share, in my opinion--are regulars playing
the troll game.
@John-They probably used hte same logic that causes them to take the word of BA in economics over the word of a PhD in atmospheric science when global warming is concerned. But you didn't think about that, did you? It would shatter your little libertarian world where everything falls into place for your ideas.
Canuck, maple-sucker, hoser, Eh-hole, 51st Stater, frostback, iceback, moosefucker, snowback, or puckhead are all acceptable terms for Canadians.
Sugar free. Without sugar. Sugarless. Wow, you are dense.
Can we not have any spoof trolling on this, our most grief-filled
day? Is it not enough that you get to ass-rape us, must you also
laugh at our anal incontinence?
I had no idea so many of the big named commenters here were in my lovely Seattle. *gushes* any chance you'll head up the street to westlake this evening?
Pro,
I am not so sure about that. When the regulars troll it is usually
so over the top it is funny. These posts have an humorless, smug,
earnestness about them that only liberals have. When a normal
person tries to troll the liberal point of view it comes out
sounding like something out of the Onion. These posts seem
legit.
You left out Shatnerians.
LKW: Yes, please stop. You posted the same thing under one of your
other fake liberal names. Meh.
sweet, sweet freedom
"Do you have any Sweet Freedom, or any of the Hawaiian
blends?"
Sug,
Exactly. I'm here to take yer jorbs, refuse to assimilate, and
generally ruin the country. Good thing part of the stimulus package
limits the ability of employers to hire my ilk.
Just heard Ron Paul talking about his Blackwater bailout
program. Awsome! Blackwater in the blue water!
Can't wait for the Reason tak on this.
any chance you'll head up the street to westlake this
evening?
Downtown this evening. But hit my email if you want.
Shoot, maybe all lefties are fake? I know joe didn't believe some of the things he said, and it's clearly true of their politicians. Interesting.
"Exactly. I'm here to take yer jorbs, refuse to assimilate, and
generally ruin the country. Good thing part of the stimulus package
limits the ability of employers to hire my ilk."
You bastards come down here and demand primetime hockey and curling
on TV. Why can't you people watch football like real Americans.
Good thing part of the stimulus package limits the ability
of employers to hire my ilk.
Thank you, OhBamaLord. May the streets run skunky with
Moosehead.
Couldn't Gillespie have found any economist with a positive outlook on the stimulus. While I happen to personally agree with the economists he questioned, there are others that favor the Obama approach (apparently all of the ones clustered around the president) and surely they have their reasons. I would have liked to read an opposing viewpoint.
John, I'm with you on the curling. Boring-est. Sport. Evar. Hockey's at least violent.
Before the Pulaholics start whining, I was not and am not
trolling.
Rep. Paul suggests we hire, with federal money, private security
and/or give rewards for the capture of hijackers.
You know, just like what his supporters were complaining about the
US doing on land in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Good times!
I think we have to be wary talking about the stimulus and doom.
I'm still optimistic long term.
Markets are incredibly resilient and market forces have overcome
some amazing obstacles in the past, despite the stupidity of those
who would ignore them.
If market forces manage to get out of this despite the stupidity of
the Obama Administration, what are we gonna do with all our gloomy
predictions then? Obama will say he was right all along, of course,
and he'll say we were all dead wrong too...
It all gets archived, you know.
I would have liked to read an opposing viewpoint.
What could possibly be the point of that?
"Shoot, maybe all lefties are fake? I know joe didn't believe
some of the things he said, and it's clearly true of their
politicians."
Really? I think Joe beleived it all. Honestly, I am not really sure
what most hard core internet liberals believe beyond rooting for
the right laundry. For Joe being liberal was like rooting for the
Red Sox. It didn't matter who was wearing the uniform as long as it
was the right uniform.
Dagny T.
I like hockey. It is great on HD and in person. Also I am lucky
enough to live in Washington where the world's greatest player,
Alex Ovechkin plays.
I think Joe beleived it all. Honestly, I am not really sure
what most hard core internet liberals believe beyond rooting for
the right laundry. For Joe being liberal was like rooting for the
Red Sox. It didn't matter who was wearing the uniform as long as it
was the right uniform.
That's what I was thinking.
Shut up HEB, we're talking about Canada here.
A chick at work curls. She says it's mostly an excuse for drinking,
so I can see how it could be awesome to play. It mystifies me that
anyone could watch it on TV, though.
Shut up HEB, we're talking about Canada here.
Until you start talking about a real country, fuck off.
Ken Shultz,
But were fucked either way, right? Stimulus works (even by accident
or through enough time)... Obama! Yay! Stimulus doesn't work... it
should have been bigger, like he wanted... Obama! Yay!
I'll stick with my gloom.
Ken,
I think we'd already be well into a recovery without the
Bush/Obama/Congress panic mongering. Even with it, I figure we'll
be seeing signs of recovery by the end of the year. With, of
course, the Democrats talking about how they saved the world.
It is my firm belief that Nunavut will conquer Canada in 2056.
SF,
Stimulus doesn't work... it should have been bigger, like he
wanted... Obama!
You forgot to blame Bush in there.
I watched Olympic curling once. It was fascinating for the
aspect of how seriously the players took it. They're using brooms
on ice, for fuck's sake. I mean, throwing an inflated pigskin
around is...
Warty, I think the real question is how attractive the curling
chick is.
Also I am lucky enough to live in Washington where the
world's greatest player, Alex Ovechkin plays.
I think that statement is not so good one.
She's pretty cute, Epi. Plus, she's a redhead and she has a tramp stamp. But she's an engineer, so I'm not sure what to make of her.
Oh, I've gone drinking with her many times, but I don't see any particular reason to do it in the cold while pretending to watch a pseudo-sporting pseudo-event.
Couldn't Gillespie have found any economist with a positive
outlook on the stimulus.
Not a credible one, no.
A chick at work curls. She says it's mostly an excuse for
drinking, so I can see how it could be awesome to play. It
mystifies me that anyone could watch it on TV, though.
I 'm pretty sure you can drink just as much watching it on TV.
No, Epi, I ruined any chances for shenanigans by fooling around with her less-attractive roommate and then never calling her again. That's my...how shall I put it...idiom.
Oh Warty, you never fool around with the less attractive one. You should know that. The not calling again isn't the problem, it's that you insulted her by not pursuing her and going for the easy mark. I might feel sorry for you if you weren't such a chubby chaser.
WARTY, YOU FOOL, EITHER DO BOTH AT ONCE OR DO THE HOT ONE FIRST! HAVE YOU LEARNED NOTHING FROM THE URKOBOLD?
I know, I know, I fucked up bigtime. In my defense, the fat one kept buying me shots. I learned from that painful lesson, though. Oh, how I've learned. Fuck, I suck. Shit.
Warty | April 15, 2009, 4:40pm | #
No, Epi, I ruined any chances for shenanigans by fooling around
with her less-attractive roommate and then never calling her again.
That's my...how shall I put it...idiom.
Kind of did that once. Actually, I didn't fool around, I was
polite, but the fooling around was all in the attractive girls
head. Low self esteem.
I quickly realized what the solution would be though. I showed up
in an gorgeous cowhide leather jacket. Put that image of Gillespie
out of your head. That is not what I'm talking about. Think McCloud
from the 70's TV show. Smooth trim fur. She was rubbing her tits up
against it in no time.
"Smooth trim fur. She was rubbing her tits up against it in no
time."
Did you climax while "Scouring the Baptismal"?
Why didn't they ask me? I would have told them how totally
awesome the stimulus is!
I won a Nobel Prize, I'll have you know.
Today is the dreaded April 15, but at least in Oregon it's even
going to cost you more to drown in your tax sorrows. In their sober
unwisdom, the state's pols plan to raise taxes by 1,900% on . . .
beer. The tax would catapult to $52.21 from $2.60 a barrel. The
money is intended to reduce Oregon's $3 billion budget deficit and,
ostensibly, to pay for drug treatment.
If it passes, Oregon will overnight become the most taxing state
for suds, one-third higher than the next highest beer tax state,
Alaska. The state may do this even though Oregon is the second
largest microbrewery producer in the U.S. The beer industry and its
96 breweries contribute 5,000 jobs and $2.25 billion to state GDP.
Kurt Widmer of Widmer Brewing Co. says the tax would "devastate our
company and small breweries throughout the state." Adds Joe
Henchman, director of state projects at the Tax Foundation, "This
microbrewery industry has gravitated to Oregon in part due to low
beer taxes."
For Oregon to enact punitive taxes on its homegrown beer industry
makes as much sense as Idaho slapping an excise tax on potatoes or
for New York to tax stock trading. Even without the tax increase,
taxes are the single most expensive ingredient in a glass of beer,
according to the Oregon Brewers Guild.
But Democrats who run the legislature are desperate for the
revenues to help pay for Oregon's 27.9% increase in the general
fund budget last year. If they have their way, every time a worker
steps up to the bar and orders a cold one, his tab will rise by an
extra $1.25 to $1.50 a pint. Half of these taxes will be paid by
Oregonians with an income below $45,000 a year. Voters might want
to remember this the next time Democrats in Salem profess to be the
party of Joe Six Pack.
"Scouring the Baptismal"?
I had to look that one up. Google came up with two hits.
And, 'climax', singular, as in single event?
Episiarch,
You're kidding me? The Lusty Lady is actually just two blocks south
of me. It's on 1st Ave, btw, not Western.
Nope, not kidding. I'm on Western a few blocks past the market. And yeah, rookie mistake on my part with the address. Like I said to Chad, feel free to hit up my email.
"the essential work of keeping the American dream alive in our time."
Right, just like
Fannie and Freddie did.
Best Lusty Lady sign in memory during 90's APEC
conference:
Welcome Apeckers.
Nope, not kidding. I'm on Western a few blocks past the
market
Do you work in that building on the Western Exit off the Viaduct
that had the broken glass every two days until they put up the
chainlink and a camera?
The state may do this even though Oregon is the second
largest microbrewery producer in the U.S. The beer industry and its
96 breweries contribute 5,000 jobs and $2.25 billion to state GDP.
Kurt Widmer of Widmer Brewing Co. says the tax would "devastate our
company and small breweries throughout the state."
Mr. Widmur doesn't understand how government works. Let me break it
down for him:
Here's some money, we want it. Give it to us.
"Reason asked 10 economists what they expect from the stimulus
package"
Hmm, I'm just betting this was not a random sample of
economists...
Hmm, I'm just betting this was not a random sample of
economists...
True. But no more random than the sample of economists that the
Obama administration refers to when they say "every economist is
for this".
Dude... welcome to town.
Thanks.
Now leave.
I keed! I keed!
I take it you're single and have few commitments (children).
Otherwise Beltown (I'm assuming you're in Beltown) would be a
tougher (not rougher) place to live.
From the lips of Al Sharpton:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DUbsLKNCUoA&eurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww%2Epowerlineblog%2Ecom%2F&feature=player_embedded
I quit reading a third of the way through. Why does Reason set
up such boring echo chambers? There are plenty of very smart people
who disagree with these guys.
It's actually pretty simple. All spending stimulates the economy,
because that's exactly what the economy IS - people spending money.
There is a trade-off between spending it quickly and spending it
intelligently, but we are largely doing a good job of striking that
balance.
In any case, almost everything the government is buying right now
is being bought at a very nice discount. We would be idiots for not
shopping like crazy. Think about it! First off, many bids for
various projects are coming it well below what they did a few years
ago, and 10-20% discounts are quite common. This is simply due to
more people chasing after the same jobs. On top of that, unlike
before the bust, the government is not competing against the
private sector for these workers. Every person they employ is one
less person collecting unemployment, and one more person paying
taxes. This easily amounts to another third or so of the cost of
employing them, putting our total discount near half. Two bridges
for the price of one sure sounds good to me.
I can't believe that you guys seriously think tax cuts will solve
the problem. I don't know ANYONE who would spend more cash if the
government handed it to us. Everyone I know would horde it, which
is precisely the problem.
"All spending stimulates the economy, because that's exactly
what the economy IS - people spending money."
Funny, I thought the economy was the voluntary exchange of goods
and services, and the purpose of money was simply to facilitate
those exchanges. But since "all" spending is stimulative, perhaps I
should go deeply into debt to finance an unsustainable lifestyle.
I'm being patriotic!
I don't know ANYONE who would spend more cash if the
government handed it to us. Everyone I know would horde it, which
is precisely the problem.
I'd spend it - just about as fast as I could exchange it for
something more likely to hold or increase its value.
I agree with the libertarians here, if the government handed me
money as a tax cut I'd spend a good portion of it. And since the
government wastes a lot of it on contracts, it might get spent
better than the stimulus.
I'm not against the very idea that a stimulus could ever work. But
I have more faith in a more direct measure like tax cuts
actually...
So, soooo many things wrong with what they said. It wasn't any kind of interview at all, just collected quotes. WTF.
"But I have more faith in a more direct measure like tax cuts
actually..."
Yeah, give everyone an extra hundred bucks, that'll make a real
difference.
"Yeah, give everyone an extra hundred bucks, that'll make a real
difference."
If it won't make any difference, there's not much reason not to do
it, then. $100 to each of 300,000,000 people is still only 30
billion. Let's try 2500 dollars per person. :)
"Yeah, give everyone an extra hundred bucks, that'll make a real
difference."
I agree. The only way to get out of a bad depression* is to
accumulate WWII levels of government debt.
*Stop looking at 1921, libertards!
Finally we have a president that's concerned with rebuilding
America
For the past 8 years all the government has been concerned about is
the welfare of Iraq: spending billions of US taxpayer dollars
rebuilding their roads, schools, electrical grid, training their
troop , equipping their police force, mediating fights between
warring sunnis and shiites, providing grants for their small
businesses, paying insurgents not to fire on US troops
The needs in our own country were largely ignored as the Bush
administration abandoned everything...even Afghanistan ...in order
to focus on Iraq
Now we finally have an AMERICAN president. A president charged with
fixing the broken economy left by the Bush administration.
I'm not sure if stimulating the economy will work. And it's going
to cost a lot of money.
But at least the money will be spent here at home building roads,
repairing bridges, setting the foundation for energy independence
and solving our broken healthcare system.
Let's face it.
If we have to spend money...let's start spending it at home. .
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