The Nairobi global warming conference grinds to an end
Ronald Bailey | November 17, 2006
(Page 3 of 7)
majority
of
Americans agreed that elected officials “should make combating
global warming a high priority."
o:p>
/o:p>
However, a lot depends on what the senators mean by an "equitable
global agreement." While the Green wing of the Democratic Party may
be all in favor imposing limits on carbon dioxide, the Party's
union supporters, who work industry, transport and power
generation, will be reluctant to go along. The Democrats, just like
President Bush, will have to argue that emissions limits must be
imposed on developing countries, especially China, India, and
Brazil, because otherwise those countries would be able to
out-compete American industry and workers. If those countries
refuse to go along, the Democrats may end up joining with the
Europeans who are calling for punitive tariffs on goods imported
from countries that don't restrict their carbon dioxide emissions.
o:p>
/o:p>
/p>
p>For me, this raises the fear that imposing carbon dioxide
emissions limits without somehow including all the big emitters
could unravel all the painful progress the world has made toward
freer trade among nations. Dismantling the World Trade Organization
would destroy vast amounts of wealth and end up impoverishing the
world's poorest people even more than any projected climate change.
For example, a 2002 Institute for International Economics study
found that just reducing current trade barriers could
add $600 billion
to global GDP and raise incomes in the world's
poorest countries by an average of 20 percent. Much more would be
at stake if the countries started erecting new trade barriers. The
IIE's figure compares very nicely with the $450 billion dollars
(
1 percent
of
global GDP) that Britain's recently released
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